Adelaide vs. Melbourne Predictions

We have Adelaide vs. Melbourne predictions for AFL Round 15 on Saturday, June 20 at 1:15pm at Adelaide Oval.

Kicking off Super Saturday is a good game between Adelaide and Melbourne, where Adelaide is the $1.40 favourite at home.

Best Bet

Adelaide –16.5 @ $1.90

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Melbourne doesn’t have a good record against non-Victorian teams, and it could struggle again. The Demons are 0-8 in their last eight interstate games, so we’re picking Adelaide to prevail at home.

They have four wins from their last five games, including consecutive wins over Geelong and Western Bulldogs. Those are high-quality wins, and they didn’t give the Bulldogs much of a chance last week with a 121-64 thrashing.

Melbourne can produce the goods on any given day, but Adelaide has depth in every position, and they have only been a good bet at Adelaide Oval. That’s why they’re $1.41 favourites to win, and they could dominate from the opening play.

We recommend taking the –16.5 line before money comes for Adelaide on game day. We see the line moving to around –18.5, so lock in the early value.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide –16.5, Riley Thilthorpe 2+ Goals, Josh Rachele 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 177.5 @ $8.70

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Riley Thilthorpe finally got back to his scoring best last week with three goals, and the floodgates might have opened. He’s one of their main players inside the forward 50, and he should kick 2+ goals against Melbourne’s defence.

Josh Rachele did one better last week with four goals. He has 10 goals from his last 10 games, which bodes well for our 2+ goal bet, and punters get $2.10. That’s a good price for an in-form player, so include him in AFL SGM picks.

We predict Melbourne struggling to kick goals, so the under 177.5 is of interest. Melbourne’s last four games have gone under the total, so the statistics back up the play.

Best Value Bet

Adelaide 40+ @ $3.40

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Adelaide could make a big statement against Melbourne, and they have already beaten quality teams by big margins.

Melbourne has played better than expected, and although we give the Demons plenty of credit for being fourth on the ladder, they could lose a few games over the next 5-6 weeks.

The $3.40 odds are generous enough to include as a value bet.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.