Adelaide vs. North Melbourne Predictions

We have Adelaide vs. North Melbourne predictions for AFL Round 10 on Saturday, May 16 at 1:15pm at Adelaide Oval.

The Crows are $1.39 favourites to win their third consecutive game as the welcome the resurgent Kangaroos.

Best Bet

Adelaide –18.5 @ $1.90

We have backed North Melbourne most weeks this season, but this is a game they could struggle to stay in the contest.

Adelaide has four wins from its last five games, with the only loss coming to Brisbane. We liked the way the Crows bounced back with wins over Port Adelaide and Richmond, and they could dominate North Melbourne from the outset.

The Kangaroos are playing much better in 2026, but losing close games can make life tough. They pushed GWS and Sydney close in the last two weeks, and sandwiched between was a 135-86 loss to Geelong, and we predict a similar result.

If Adelaide plays anywhere close to its best, it should win and cover the –18.5 spread. It’s one of our best bets of the week, so include Adelaide in AFL multi picks.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide –18.5, Riley Thilthorpe 3+ Goals, Josh Rachele 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 182.5 @ $9.00

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Riley Thilthorpe hasn’t quite come alive for loyal punters, but we’re giving him one more chance. Adelaide has done well to win with Thilthorpe scoring just three goals in his last three games, but this could be his breakout performance.

Josh Rachele is $2 to score 2+ goals, having scored doubles against Port Adelaide and Richmond. He’s seeing the ball go through the centre of the posts, and we’re backing the confident player at the odds.

We don’t see North Melbourne scoring a big total, so our AFL same game multi picks include under 182.5 points. It’s a fair line from bookmakers, and it could shorten during the week.

Best Value Bet

Crows 40+ @ $3.15

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It’s not easy to score by 40+ points against the 2026 version of North Melbourne, but the pressure of losing close games could be too much for the young squad this week.

Adelaide is a team that can turn on the scoring power when it likes, and if the Kangaroos don’t stick with them early, the score could blow out in the second half.

The $3.15 odds make this pick worth the risk.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.