Adelaide vs. Port Adelaide Predictions

We have Adelaide vs. Port Adelaide predictions for AFL Round 8 on Friday, May 1 at 8:10pm at Adelaide Oval.

A close game is expected with AFL odds, but punters get value odds in the Adelaide Derby.

Best Bet

Adelaide –11.5 @ $1.90

Adelaide has the recent edge when playing against Port Adelaide, including a 133-35 win last year. That was a comprehensive win, and although it should be closer this week, the Crows should be tough to beat.

They are the $1.52 favourites to win, which is a generous price, and although they were no match for the Lions last week, that loss followed wins over Carlton and St Kilda, with the wins over the Saints being a quality performance.

Port Adelaide scored an upset win over Geelong last week, which was a fine performance. However, consistency has been tough to come by, including a loss to West Coast. We can’t bet on a team with a loss to the Eagles, so Adelaide should win and cover the –11.5 spread.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide –11.5, Taylor Walker 2+ Goals, Riley Thilthorpe 3+ Goals, Total Points Over 177.5 @ $8.75

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Taylor Walker and Riley Thilthorpe were disappointing last week, but we’re betting on them having a good bounce back performance.

Walker kicked five goals against St Kilda, and if he’s anywhere near his best, he should kick 2+ goals. The $1.52 odds are worth including in AFL SGM picks.

Thilthorpe had only one goal last week, and although his consistency is a cause for concern, we have him kicking 3+ goals. He had three goals against St Kilda, and if his accuracy is there, the $2.05 odds will look silly.

We predict a high scoring contest between the rivals, so include over 177.5 points in AFL multi bets.

Best Value Bet

Adelaide Wire-to-Wire @ $2.25

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We expect Adelaide to come out of the gates firing on all cylinders. When they play well, they tend to start the game on fire, and that’s what we expect against Port Adelaide.

A first quarter lead be enough to see Adelaide kick on with it for an easy win, and punters get $2.25 from bookmakers.

It’s a value bet worth taking before money comes for Adelaide during the week. We see this option firming to around $2.10 on game day.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.