** 2021 preview and predictions are shown below – 2022 predictions will be updated on the Monday before the round starts! **
We have expert exotic betting tips for the 2021 AFL Final between the Melbourne Demons and Western Bulldogs on Saturday.
Bookmakers have a plethora of exotic betting markets available for the AFL final. We have scoured the markets for the best play AFL final exotic bets.
AFL Grand Final Exotic Bets
Most Disposals – Clayton Oliver
The Melbourne Demon is the $3 second favourite and with good reason. The midfielder has been racking up big disposal numbers all season, including 27 in the preliminary final against Geelong.
He wasn’t the best on the park, which went to Jack Viney, but we think he will improve on those statistics in the final.
Viney is $21 for this option, so he’s expected to be a bit quieter. Christian Petracca is the biggest danger for the Demons. He is $6 after having 32 disposals against Geelong.
Jack Mcrae is the $2.30 favourite, but we think he could struggle for the Bulldogs. We think Clayton Oliver will outshine everyone in this market.
Bet: Clayton Oliver @ $3 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Total Points – Over 154.5
Grand finals can be tighter games, but we think Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs will come with an offensive mindset.
154.5 points isn’t a high number, and we see the final around the 85-76 mark. That would see the over 154.5 hit nicely for punters.
It has been an even spread of money for this market. Punters often don’t know what to expect with the total points, but with conditions being ideal for running football, we expect the attacking of both teams to be on fire this Saturday.
Bet: Over 154.5 points @ $1.88 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Most Goals – Max Gawn
Melbourne’s big man had no problem scoring goals against the Cats in the prelim final. He had an incredible five-goal game, which could be repeated.
Gawn is a player who plays well when he’s hot, so we’re surprised by the $23 available in the most goals market.
There are other players who are better at scoring goals in bunches, but his confidence is up, and he could put himself into the thick of the action again.
Leading the market is Ben Brown, who is a good saver bet at $4.50. Brown scored two against the Cats, but is capable of many more.
Another pick we like, especially for Bulldogs’ backers is Cody Weightman. He was forced to miss the game against Port Adelaide due to concussion, but he could bounce back in fine style.
Bet: Max Gawn @ $23 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Winning Margin – Melbourne 1-24
We can’t see the final being a blowout from either side, and because we think Melbourne wins, we’re happy with the 1-24 option.
The current favourite is Melbourne 25+ at $3, and although they’re capable of scoring big, it should be a tight contest between two evenly-matched teams.
$3.10 is available for Melbourne 1-24 and we’re confident with his exotic pick.
Bet: Melbourne 1-24 @ $3 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Demons vs Bulldogs BYO Picks
Sportsbet has many BYO options available and there is excellent value to be snapped up.
Our favourite is Melbourne to kick 2+ goals in every quarter. It’s not always the easiest option to take, but we are confident with Melbourne showed its offensive prowess.
Punters get $2.30 for this option, so it’s well worth taking.
For something paying a little less, we like Bailey Smith, Marcus Bontempelli, Petracca and Oliver to kick 4+ goal combined. It should be a good thing, and punters get $1.53 to enjoy.
It’s a generous betting line from Sportsbet, and we expect the odds to firm on game day.
We also like the Norm Smith Medal to be won by either Petracca, Oliver, Bontempelli, Libertore or Smith. It pays $1.80, and punters get a good array of players. There is risk that another player has a huge game, but the odds are in punters’ favour.
Our final AFL Grand Final exotic bet is Melbourne win, Melbourne most goals and Melbourne player wins the Norm Smith. This option pays $2, so there is plenty of value, and the Norm Smith Medal winner should come from the winning team.
🤑 Who should you bet with for the AFL Grand Final?
💰 What is the best bet for the AFL Grand Final?
To find out our best bets for the AFL Grand Final, read our full AFL Grand Final preview and betting tips!
📺 How can I watch the AFL Grand Final?
For detailed information on how to watch and live stream the AFL Grand Final, read our guide on how to live stream AFL!
🏉 What are the best exotic bets for the AFL Grand Final?
Read our AFL Grand Final preview and bettings tips to find out the best exotic bets like first goal scorer and Norm Smith Medal winner!
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.