We have expert betting tips for AFL Round 11, which starts with Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons on Friday.
It’s a week where there are a lot of short-priced favourites. However, punters get excellent value for the underdogs and there could be a few upset results in Round 11.
AFL Round 11 Tips
7:50pm Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons @ Marvel Stadium
The Bulldogs couldn’t have been more impressive winning 144-33 against the Saints last week.
It was an effortless display in scoring 21 goals and limited St Kilda to just 5.3 is an incredible defensive effort.
Melbourne suffered a tough one-point loss to Adelaide, which doesn’t bode well. It was its worst performance all season, but they’re good enough to bounce back.
We’re going with the Bulldogs to tough this one out.
Betting tip: Western Bulldogs to win @ $1.65 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Bulldogs by 10
1:45pm Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats @ MCG
The rough season for Collingwood continued last week when they suffered a one-point loss to Port Adelaide.
On face value it wasn’t a good performance, scoring just eight goals. However, they pushed a quality team to the limit and that shouldn’t be overlooked.
Geelong comes off another professional outing against the Suns, but punters get 30.5 points for Collingwood and that number is too good to pass up.
Betting tip: Collingwood Magpies +30.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Cats by 18
2:10pm Brisbane Lions vs GWS Giants @ Gabba
Brisbane has well and truly found its top gear after another fine performance against the Richmond Tigers.
The Lions are showing their best form now and the Giants could be in for a rude awakening. GWS comes off a win over the Eagles, which was a tough effort.
However, consistency has been troublesome and with the Lions playing at the Gabba, we’re expecting them to maul the visitors.
Betting tip: Brisbane Lions –29.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Lions by 34
4:35pm St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Marvel Stadium
Bookmakers must have had a hard time setting the odds for this game. Both St Kilda and North Melbourne come off shocking Round 10 performances, so which team has more upside?
St Kilda couldn’t muster anything against the Bulldogs, scoring just 33 points. At least North Melbourne scored 10 goals in their 72-point loss to Essendon.
Because both teams are desperate, we don’t think there will be much between them. Take the Kangaroos to keep it close.
Betting tip: North Melbourne Kangaroos +27.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Saints by 4
7:40pm Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks @ TIO Stadium
The sun wasn’t shining for Gold Coast against Geelong, but facing the Hawks will offer some respite.
They were outplayed in the 34-point defeat, but the Hawks looked average when losing to Carlton and we don’t expect much improvement.
We are not surprised by the bookmakers’ odds and punters get good value for the Suns. They are –14.5 and we expect that line to move on game day.
Betting tip: Gold Coast Suns –14.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Suns by 21
7:40pm West Coast Eagles vs Essendon Bombers @ Optus Stadium
Essendon comes off its biggest win of the season when thumping the Kangaroos by 72 points last week.
It was a powerful display and although the level of opposition increases, the Eagles weren’t impressive against the Giants.
The 16-point loss wasn’t too bad, but they are now favoured to beat Essendon by 30.5 points and we think that line is too high.
Essendon is dangerous when confident and we’re predicting an upset.
Betting tip: Essendon Bombers to win @ $5.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Essendon by 10
1:10pm Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows @ MCG
The Tigers were no match for Brisbane last week, but they’re expected to hand Adelaide a loss on Sunday.
Adelaide comes off a superb one-point win over Melbourne and that will give them confidence. They aren’t a bad side, but Richmond plays swarming defence and that will take its toll.
Given the quality players on the Tigers roster, we expect them to come out firing.
Betting tip: Richmond Tigers –30.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Tigers by 36
3:20pm Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues @ SCG
Sydney played well enough to win against Fremantle, so coming up short must have hurt. However, they’re capable of beating Carlton.
The Blues took care of a struggling Hawks outfit last week and that performance shouldn’t be overlooked. However, there is more upside with the Swans and bookmakers appear to have correct odds.
Sydney is the 18.5-point favorite and it’s good enough to cover the spread.
Betting tip: Sydney Swans –18.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Swans by 29
4:40pm Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers @ Adelaide Oval
Port Adelaide were almost shocked by Collingwood, but it survived with a one-point victory.
The Power must now hold off the Dockers, which scored a two-point win over the Sydney Swans last week.
Bookmakers have 30.5 points between them, which we think is way off. We don’t believe Fremantle are that bad and a close game is expected.
Betting tip: Fremantle Dockers +30.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Power by 22
🤑 Who should you bet with for AFL Round 11?
💰 What is the best bet for AFL Round 11?
To find out our best bets for Round 11 of the AFL season, read our full round 11 preview and betting tips!
📺 How can I watch Round 11 of the AFL season?
For detailed information on how to watch and live stream Round 11 of the AFL season, read our guide on how to live stream AFL!
🏉 What is the fixture for AFL Round 11?
Read our AFL Round 11 preview and bettings tips to find out all of the fixtures and locations for the round!
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.