AFL Round 12 2025 Expert Tips & Predictions

The AFL continues this week for Round 12 action, kicking off with Brisbane vs Essendon on Thursday night.

We have AFL betting tips for every game in 2025, including this week’s featured games between Collingwood vs Hawthorn and Gold Coast vs Fremantle.

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AFL Round 12 Tips

Thursday 29/5/25

7:30pm Brisbane vs Essendon @ Gabba

Betting Tip: Essendon +35.5 @ $1.90

After beating Richmond last week, we’re sticking with Essendon to keep it close against last year’s premiers on Thursday.

Punters have been burned by the Bombers at times in 2025, especially following a win. However, this team has ability, and we don’t think they’re 35.5 points worse than Brisbane.

The Lions scored a big win over Hawthorn, which was impressive, but this could be a letdown spot for them, and the line has inflated to a good number for underdog backers.

Brisbane by 27

Friday 30/5/25

7:40pm Collingwood vs Hawthorn @ MCG

Betting Tip: Hawthorn @ $2.24

We have backed Hawthorn religiously this season, and despite losing to Brisbane heavily last week, we’re giving them one more chance to show us what they can do.

They didn’t start 2024 well before finishing the year with a flurry, and we’re hoping they’re adopting similar tactics. A bounce back effort is expected, and although it must come against the leading AFL team, they’re capable.

Getting $2.23 for a team as talented as Hawthorn is too good to pass up.

Hawthorn by 7

Saturday 31/5/25

1:20pm Gold Coast vs Fremantle @ People First Stadium

Betting Tip: Gold Coast -16.5 @ $1.90

Gold Coast did enough to beat the hapless St Kilda Saints last week, scoring an 80-61 win on Sunday, and that sets them up for a big game against Fremantle.

The Dockers did the job against Port Adelaide, winning 100-51, and that should give them confidence. However, winning in Gold Coast isn’t easy, and they don’t play nearly as well on the road.

We believe punters get a generous –16.5 line for Gold Coast. It’s a top four team, and it’s good enough to score a big win.

Gold Coast by 28

4:15pm GWS vs Richmond @ ENGIE Stadium

Betting Tip: GWS –44.5 @ $1.90

GWS isn’t always the easiest team to follow, but it shouldn’t have much standing in its way against the struggling Richmond Tigers.

The Giants got back to winning form with a 110-82 win over Carlton on the road, which is a good form guide, and if Essendon can score an easy win over the Tigers, GWS should put up an even better performance.

Covering a –44.5 spread isn’t easy, but the Giants could score 100+ points, and Richmond will be left floundering.

GWS by 56

7:35pm Sydney vs Adelaide @ SCG

Betting Tip: Adelaide –4.5 @ $1.90

Punters get a value line for Adelaide at –4.5, as the Crows are playing much better footy than Sydney.

The Swans were well-beaten by Melbourne last week, which isn’t a good sign, and Adelaide came through a comfortable win.

We thought the line would have been around –12.5 for Adelaide, and we expect money to come for them throughout the week. Take the opening line before the big bets come.

Adelaide by 18

Sunday 1/6/25

3:20pm Melbourne vs St Kilda @ TIO Traeger Park

Betting Tip: Melbourne –8.5 @ $1.90

It’s never easy to play at Alice Springs, especially during the daytime, but Melbourne could cope with the conditions best.

We have been impressed with Melbourne’s ability to respond to a slow start to the year, and it has improved to 11th on the AFL ladder. That follows an easy win last week, and against a struggling St Kilda team, it could keep winning.

The –8.5 line is generous with AFL odds, so include the Demons in your AFL predictions.

Melbourne by 22

Betting Tip: Geelong –38.5 @ $1.90

The Eagles came back down to earth as expected last week, and they’re in for another long night against Geelong.

The Cats are looking to push for a top four spot, and they shouldn’t have too many worries against a West Coast team languishing in 18th spot.

Covering a –38.5 spread isn’t hard for Geelong, which is used to posting big scores against the struggling teams.

Geelong by 50

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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