We have expert betting tips for AFL Round 16, which starts with Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers on Thursday night.
Every team is in action in Round 16, including Geelong vs Essendon and Sydney vs West Coast.
We have done the form to find the best value bets available.
AFL Round 16 Tips
7:20pm Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers @ Metricon Stadium
Richmond was shockingly bad against the Saints last week, scoring just 22 points and losing 62-22.
It was a dour effort from one of the leading teams, so the Tigers will need to bounce back against the Suns on Thursday.
Gold Coast produced another poor effort, losing to the Kangaroos. It’s not something any team wants on the record, so another loss looks likely.
Betting tip: Richmond Tigers to win – Bet @ Sportsbet
Tigers by 37
7:50pm Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers @ GMHBA Stadium
Geelong is another team that needs to produce a much better performance than what it showed in Round 15.
The Cats were soundly beaten by the Brisbane Lions 94-50, but they have been heavily backed to beat Essendon.
The Bombers played well enough against Melbourne, limiting the Demons to just 68 points, but they scored only 57. A better offensive performance is needed, but they’re good enough to keep it close.
Take the Bombers to cover the large spread.
Betting tip: Essendon Bombers +25.5 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Cats by 16
1:45pm Melbourne Demons vs GWS Giants @ MCG
Melbourne isn’t playing as well of late as it did to start the season. However, the Demons remain one of the hardest teams to beat in the AFL.
They should have no problem getting past the struggling GWS Giants, which suffered another disappointing loss to Hawthorn last week.
The defence didn’t commit and that’s going to be a problem against Melbourne.
Betting tip: Melbourne Demons –30.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Demons by 48
4:35pm Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions @ Adelaide Oval
Based on last week’s performance against Geelong, the Brisbane Lions should have no problem beating the Adelaide Crows.
Adelaide isn’t a bad team and it has shown that recently, but Brisbane is one of the leading teams and they should continue their winning ways.
Bookmakers should have a sizable line posted and the Lions are capable of producing a comfortable victory.
Betting tip: Brisbane Lions to win – Bet @ Sportsbet
Lions by 40
7:40pm Fremantle Dockers vs Carlton Blues @ Optus Stadium
It’s typically a close game between Fremantle and Carlton, with both teams needing to find some momentum.
Fremantle comes off a 91-79 win over Collingwood, which is a step in the right direction. The Magpies are struggling, so it’s not a high rating win, but it should give the Dockers confidence.
Carlton also comes off a win over Adelaide, so it will be keen to start winning consistently.
We’re going with Fremantle, which looks to have slightly more upside. It’s capable of beating better teams than Carlton.
Betting tip: Fremantle Dockers to win – Bet @ Sportsbet
Dockers by 12
7:40pm Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power @ Marvel Stadium
Hawthorn has been a tough team to follow over the last few weeks, but we’re not expecting it to beat Port Adelaide.
The Power should be too strong and back up their win over Sydney, which was a solid performance in scoring 12.9 and limiting what the Swans could offer on attack.
Bookmakers have a 22.5-point difference, which the Power should have no problems with.
Betting tip: Port Adelaide Power –22.5 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Power by 30
1:10pm Sydney Swans vs West Coast Eagles @ GMHBA Stadium
West Coast was one of the biggest disappointments last week when being thrashed by the Western Bulldogs.
They were expected to win with their stars back in the squad, but they offered very little. It’s a big concern against a Swans team that is good enough to win.
Bookmakers have Sydney as slight favourites at $1.90, which is a telling sign that all is not well in the West Coast camp.
Betting tip: Sydney Swans @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Swans by 10
3:20pm Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints @ MCG
Collingwood can’t seem to do much right at the moment, but facing St Kilda could offer some respite.
It hasn’t been an easy start to the season for the Magpies, but they have more upside than the Saints, who could struggle at the MCG on Sunday.
Sportsbet has installed Collingwood as slight favourites and it should be a close game. We give them the edge, but there is good value in the 1-39 market.
Take the Magpies 1-39 at $2.20 for better value.
Betting tip: Collingwood Magpies 1-39 @ $2.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Magpies by 13
4:40pm Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne @ Marvel Stadium
The Bulldogs ran all over the Eagles last week and it should be a similar story against the Kangaroos.
North Melbourne scored a rare win last week, but we don’t think many punters are expecting them to beat the Bulldogs.
Bookmakers have the line at 50.5 points, which is about the biggest you will see. It won’t be an easy cover, but take the better team to win.
Betting tip: Western Bulldogs –50.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Bulldogs by 60
🤑 Who should you bet with for AFL Round 16?
💰 What is the best bet for AFL Round 16?
To find out our best bets for Round 16 of the AFL season, read our full round 16 preview and betting tips!
📺 How can I watch Round 16 of the AFL season?
For detailed information on how to watch and live stream Round 16 of the AFL season, read our guide on how to live stream AFL!
🏉 What is the fixture for AFL Round 16?
Read our AFL Round 16 preview and bettings tips to find out all of the fixtures and locations for the round!
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.