AFL Round 17 Expert Tips & Predictions

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AFL Round 17 Expert Tips & Predictions

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The AFL continues this week for Round 17 action, kicking off with Collingwood vs Essendon on Friday night.

We have AFL betting tips for every game in 2024, including this weeks’ featured games between GWS vs Carlton and Port Adelaide vs Bulldogs.

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AFL Round 17 Tips

Friday 5/7/24

7:40pm Collingwood Magpies vs Essendon Bombers @ MCG

The Magpies and Bombers come off Round 16 losses, so they need to bounce back on Friday night.

We have been impressed with Essendon, but its lack of wins against top level teams is what’s holding it back.

Collingwood plays better against the elite teams, and for that reason, we’re backing it to win and cover the spread.

Betting tip: Collingwood –12.5 @ $1.90

Collingwood by 20

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Saturday 6/7/24

1:45pm North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns @ Marvel Stadium

The Kangaroos have played better over the last few weeks, but we can’t see them beating the Suns.

Gold Coast is still in the playoff hunt in 11th position, and the Kangaroos have no chance of playing post-season footy.

Therefore, given the line is only –18.5, so can’t leave the Suns out of our AFL selections this week.

Betting tip: Gold Coast –18.5 @ $1.90

Gold Coast by 29

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1:35pm Port Adelaide Power vs Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Oval

It’s surprising to see the Bulldogs favoured on the road against the Power, so we’re backing Port to hold down the fort.

It hasn’t been a vintage year for the Power, who are seventh on the ladder, but they’re ahead of the Bulldogs, and we always like backing them at home.

Getting $2.04 for the Power in Adelaide is tough to ignore.

Betting tip: Port Adelaide @ $2.04

Port Adelaide by 10

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4:35pm Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks @ GMHBA Stadium

Hawthorn was too good for a poor Eagles outfit last week, but it will be up against a much harder opponent in the Cats.

Geelong is sitting just outside the top four after posting some mixed results. However, at their best, the Cats are one of the best.

The same can’t be said for the Hawks, so take the generous –10.5 line with Geelong.

Betting tip: Geelong –10.5 @ $1.90

Geelong by 17

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7:30pm GWS Giants vs Carlton Blues @ ENGIE Stadium

Carlton has proven itself as one of the best teams in the AFL, and confidence should take them close against the Giants.

There isn’t much between them in betting markets, with Carlton at $1.77, and those odds are too good to pass up.

It should be a close contest, and it could go either way. However, back the Blues to keep their winning run alive.

Betting tip: Carlton @ $1.77

Carlton by 7

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8:10pm Fremantle Dockers vs Richmond Tigers @ Optus Stadium

There is a big difference between Fremantle and Richmond, and that’s reflective with betting markets.

The Dockers are –42.5 favourites, which is the biggest line of the week, and we’re not surprised given their respective form.

It should be one-way traffic for Fremantle.

Betting tip: Fremantle –42.5 @ $1.90

Fremantle by 52

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Sunday 7/7/24

1:10pm Melbourne Demons vs West Coast Eagles @ MCG

Melbourne is looking for an easy win, and it should come this week against the West Coast Eagles.

The Eagles have shown glimpses of form in 2024, but just when you think they have turned the corner, they produce a shocker.

Melbourne sits in 12th, and it’s struggling, but it will see this game as a must-win, and it should come easily.

Betting tip: Melbourne –30.5 @ $1.90

Melbourne by 40

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3:20pm St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans @ Marvel Stadium

The Swans were stunned when losing to Fremantle by a point last week, but a bounce back is expected.

They are the –20.5 favourites to beat the struggling Saints, who appear to be out of playoff contention in 15th spot.

Despite the recent slip up, it came against a top team, and facing the Saints gives them every chance to fire up.

Betting tip: Sydney –20.5 @ $1.90

Sydney by 25

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4:10pm Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows @ Gabba

The Lions are clinging onto a top eight spot, and a win over the Crows will cement that position.

The $1.20 favourites should fancy themselves to beat Adelaide, which hasn’t been playing its best footy in 2024.

Covering a –29.5 line is the hard part. We expect the Crows to put up some effort on the road, and they could keep it close on Sunday night.

Betting tip: Adelaide +29.5 @ $1.90

Brisbane by 22

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.