Last round was the first round in VFL/AFL history to have five games decided by less than a goal and all three games on Sunday were one-sided affairs.
Round 21 looks like it will have some cracking games with many teams still fighting to keep their finals hopes alive or looking to consolidate their position in the top four.
The round kicks off on Friday night with the Bombers taking on the Saints under the roof at Etihad Stadium.
7:50pm Essendon Bombers vs. St Kilda Saints @ Etihad Stadium
The Bombers suffered a narrow loss to the Hawks last round and playing finals in 2018 looks almost impossible for them now. However, they are still one of the form sides of the competition and will fancy themselves to have a good win over the Saints on Friday night.
St Kilda were very disappointing in their loss to the Bulldogs last week but they match up well against the Bombers and we think this game will be a bit closer than some may think.
We’ll take Essendon to come away with the win and we are liking the $2.25 on offer at 1-39 – we’re not expecting a blowout.
Betting tip: Essendon 1-39 @ $2.25 (BET NOW)
Essendon by 27
1:45pm Hawthorn Hawks vs. Geelong Cats @ MCG
The Hawks had a gritty win over the Bombers last week and they are primed for a big clash against the Cats at the MCG.
Geelong pushed the reigning premiers to the final seconds last Friday night and they are coming up against the Hawks who are looking to consolidate their position in the top 8 and push for a top 4 spot.
Both teams have a lot to play for and this will hands down be the match of the round! We think either team could win in a very tight game, so we are taking the tri bet option for either team to win by less than 15.5. The $2.50 on offer is good value.
Betting tip: Either team to win under 15.5 @ $2.50 (BET NOW)
Geelong by 6
2:10pm Gold Coast Suns vs. Richmond Tigers @ Metricon Stadium
The Gold Coast are once again in shambles and with talk of tension among the playing group after Tom Lynch made his intentions to leave known.
Richmond had a hard fought win over the Cats last week and this game against the Suns will feel like a training drill in comparison.
Richmond will have a big win here and the -65.5 line is looking appealing. We will also have a smaller play at the -91.5 line at $4 odds.
Betting tip: Richmond -65.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Richmond by 95
4:35pm Port Adelaide Power vs. West Coast Eagles @ Adelaide Oval
Port Adelaide lost a very tight showdown clash against the Crows last week and will be desperate for a win to shore up their top 8 position.
West Coast are well-placed in second position on the ladder but will need a few more wins to ensure a home final. They will also be without star midfielder Andrew Gaff for the remainder of the season after his brain fade last weekend.
Gaff is a big loss for the West Coast midfield and we’ll take the home team to win what will be a solid contest.
Betting tip: Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.00 (BET NOW)
Port Adelaide by 26
7:25pm Collingwood Magpies vs. Brisbane Lions @ Etihad Stadium
Collingwood went down to the Swans by 2 points last weekend in a great game of football. They are back in Melbourne this week and a win here will see them fighting it out for a top 4 finish.
The Lions lost a tough battle against the Roos last week with young star Cam Rayner missed a shot to steal victory late in the game.
We think the Lions will be competitive with the Pies, but Collingwood will be too good in the end.
Betting tip: Collingwood 1-39 @ $2.10 (BET NOW)
Collingwood by 32
7:25pm GWS Giants vs. Adelaide Crows @ UNSW Canberra
GWS are coming off a massive 105-point win over the Blues last week and managed to do so without an interchange bench and still rotating two players off the field in the final term. It was 16 GWS players vs. 18 Blues players and the Giants still outscored them by six goals. Incredible stuff.
The Crows are coming of a gritty showdown victory against Port Adelaide and if they are to keep their slim finals hopes alive, a win here is crucial.
This will be a tough contest but we feel that the Giants will prove to be too good and come away with a 1-39 point victory.
Betting tip: GWS 1-39 @ $2.00 (BET NOW)
GWS by 18
1:10pm North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Western Bulldogs @ Etihad Stadium
The Kangaroos were lucky to come away from Brisbane with a win after a late charge from the Lions but any victory on the road is never easy and they would be pleased to come away with the four points.
The Bulldogs returned to a bit of form against a disappointing St Kilda outfit but they are not likely to seriously trouble the Roos this weekend.
While we don’t think this game will be a blowout, the 1-39 margin feels a bit close for our liking but we think the Roos can easily cover the -23.5 line.
Betting tip: North Melbourne -23.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
North Melbourne by 32
3:20pm Melbourne Demons vs. Sydney Swans @ MCG
The Demons easily accounted for the Suns last weekend with a 96-point victory and currently sit in fourth place on the ladder.
Buddy Franklin reminded fans of what he is capable of in Sydney’s thrilling 2-point victory over Collingwood and he may be hitting peak form at the right time of year, after what has been a somewhat quiet year by his standards.
The current $3.10 on offer for the Swans is too good for us to pass up and we’ll take the Swans to win a tight tussle at the MCG.
Betting tip: Sydney to win @ $3.10 (BET NOW)
Sydney by 18
4:40pm Fremantle Dockers vs. Carlton Blues @ Optus Stadium
Fremantle were outclassed by West Coast from the first bounce last weekend and young star Andrew Brayshaw won’t be seen again this season after suffering a broken jaw at the hands of West Coast’s Andrew Gaff.
The Blues are simply not a competitive football team and their loss to GWS last week was one of the worst in recent memory. They face a tough task this week in travelling west to take on the Dockers.
Fremantle are far from what they were a few years ago but they are certainly a much more competitive football team than the Blues and we expect them to have a good win and easily cover the -27.5 line.
Betting tip: Fremantle -27.5.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Fremantle by 40