Last round was a very successful one for GoBet readers with 7/9 betting picks getting up including picking the Swans to win at $3.10 odds. We always like to multi all of our picks and if it wasn’t for two close upsets, we would have pulled off a nice $1,037/1 multi.
Round 22 has some do or die games for teams fighting for a position in the top eight and some important games for teams looking to claim an all important top four spot.
The second last round of the 2018 AFL season begins with a Friday night blockbuster with the Tigers taking on the Bombers at the MCG.
7:50pm Richmond Tigers vs. Essendon Bombers @ MCG
The Tigers are coming off a big win over the Gold Coast in which Jack Riewoldt kicked 10 goals and they are back at the MCG this Friday night to take on the Bombers who need the win to keep their finals hopes alive.
Despite the Bombers suffering a few injuries, they managed to comfortably get past the Saints last week but they face a huge step up in competition against the Tigers this week.
There’s no doubt that the Bombers are playing much better football than when these teams met earlier this year and we are predicting this one to go right down to the wire.
Richmond should have the class to get over the line in the end, but we are liking the Bombers with the +24.5 line.
Betting tip: Essendon +24.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Richmond by 10
1:45pm Collingwood Magpies vs. Port Adelaide Power @ MCG
Collingwood had a 31-point win over Brisbane last week and while it wasn’t the most convincing of wins, they are well-placed to fight out a top four finish and a win over Port Adelaide this week will strengthen their claims.
Port Adelaide will be disappointed with their loss over West Coast last week in which they lead for the entire match, except for when it mattered most. Port will be looking for at least one more win to claim a finals birth but it won’t come easy with having Collingwood and Essendon to finish off the season.
Both teams have a lot to play for but Collingwood are certainly the better of these two teams and should come away with a hard-fought victory at the MCG.
Betting tip: Collingwood 1-39 @ $TBA (BET NOW)
Collingwood by 18
2:10pm Geelong Cats vs. Fremantle Dockers @ GMHBA Stadium
Geelong went down narrowly to the Hawks last week and now site one win outside of the top eight, however, they do maintain a very healthy percentage. They are back at home this Saturday afternoon and will be looking to chalk up a nice victory against a weaker opposition.
Fremantle are coming off a win over Carlton but face a big step up in grade in playing the Cats at home.
Geelong are a team that’s too good not to play finals and we think they will have a big win over the Dockers this week and we think they will easily cover the current -44.5 line.
Betting tip: Geelong -44.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Geelong by 70
4:35pm GWS Giants vs. Sydney Swans @ Spotless Stadium
The Giants came away from Canberra with a good win over the Crows last week and they are back home at Spotless Stadium for the local derby against the Swans this week.
The Swans were our best prediction last week and but the Giants are on another level compared to the Demons. Buddy Franklin is really starting to hit his straps in recent weeks and he will need to be at his best if the Swans are to have a chance this week.
This will be one of the best matches of the round and we are finding it hard to pick a winner. For that reason, we are going to tip either team by -15.5 in what should be a real nail-biter!
Betting tip: Either team -15.5 @ $TBA (BET NOW)
GWS by 8
7:25pm Gold Coast Suns vs. Brisbane Lions @ Metricon Stadium
The season can’t come to an end soon enough for the Suns who were well and truly outclassed by the Tigers and Jack Riewoldt last week. The Suns are at home for the local derby against the Lions but the home ground is not much of an advantage for the Suns this year.
The Lions are continuing to show improvement and are competing well against some good teams. Their improvement in 2018 has been significant and they get a chance to show just how far they’ve come against the Suns this week.
We think the -24.5 line for the Lions is a bit short and we think the Lions can easily cover that margin. Get on this one early because we expect to see this margin increase throughout the week.
Betting tip: Brisbane -24.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Brisbane by 38
7:25pm St Kilda Saints vs. Hawthorn Hawks @ Etihad Stadium
The Saints have had a poor season and they don’t seem to be salvaging anything late. They were very disappointing against the Bulldogs and were never really competitive against the Bombers who were down four men by the final term.
The Hawks are finishing the season strongly and must be respected by any team in the top eight – they are a legitimate Premiership threat. Their wins over Geelong and Essendon in the last two weeks will be good preparation heading into September.
The -33.5 line is flattering to the Saints and we think the Hawks will account for this margin with ease. As with the previous game, we suggest getting your bets in early for this one because this margin should increase.
Betting tip: Hawthorn – 33.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Hawthorn by 52
1:10pm Carlton Blues vs. Western Bulldogs @ Etihad Stadium
The Blues lead the Dockers at half time last week but were no match for them for the remainder of the game. They are back at Etihad this week but they face the Bulldogs who have found form late in the season.
The Bulldogs have had a poor 2018 season overall but are finishing the season well and look as if they have a good platform to build on for 2019. If the Bulldogs can play with the same intensity they’ve shown over the last two weeks, they will have another good win over the Blues this week.
We are predicting the Dogs to carry on their recent run of form to come away with a big win over the Blues.
Betting tip: Western Bulldogs -28.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Western Bulldogs by 48
3:20pm West Coast Eagles vs. Melbourne Demons @ Optus Stadium
West Coast stole an after the siren victory against Port Adelaide last week and are back at home this week against the Demons.
The Demons will be bitterly disappointed with their performance over the Swans last week and face a huge task against West Coast at Optus Stadium this week. The Demons need to beat either West Coast or GWS to play finals this year and it’s looking extremely unlikely based on recent form.
This game should be close but the Eagles should get the win at home and cover the -9.5 margin.
Betting tip: West Coast -9.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
West Coast by 22
4:40pm Adelaide Crows vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Adelaide Oval
Adelaide pushed the Giants in their game in Canberra last week but the loss meant that their 2018 is over. That said, they will be looking to finish the season strongly they get a chance back at home against the Roos this weekend.
The Kangaroos’ finals hopes are also slipping away after they suffered a shock loss to the Bulldogs last weekend. Adelaide in Adelaide is no easy task and it will take their best performance to win this one.
The odds for this one heavily favour the Crows but we think this will be a very close game. We are finding it hard to split these two teams and will take the tri-bet for either team to win by less than 15.5.
Betting tip: Either team by -15.5 @ $TBA (BET NOW)
Adelaide by 6