AFL Round 5 Expert Tips & Predictions

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AFL Round 5 Expert Tips & Predictions

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The AFL continues this week for Round 5 action, kicking off with Melbourne vs Brisbane on Thursday night.

We have AFL betting tips for every game in 2024, including this weeks’ featured games between GWS vs St Kilda and Port Adelaide vs Fremantle.

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AFL Round 5 Tips

Thursday 11/4/24

7:30pm Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions @ MCG

It hasn’t been a good start for Brisbane, and the pain could continue on Thursday night against Melbourne.

The Demons have played much better and find themselves in second position on the AFL ladder, which is a great place to be.

Playing at home is ideal, and we’re taking Melbourne to win comfortably.

Betting tip: Melbourne –15.5 @ $1.90

Melbourne by 19

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Friday 12/4/24

7:40pm Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers @ Marvel Stadium

We weren’t impressed with the Bulldogs last week, but we fancy their chances of beating the enigmatic Essendon on Friday.

The Bulldogs are one of the better teams at bouncing back from a loss, hence the current $1.44 odds to beat Essendon.

It could be a tight contest at halftime but expect the Bulldogs to pull away late.

Betting tip: Western Bulldogs –14.5 @ $1.90

Bulldogs by 20

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Saturday 13/4/24

1:45pm GWS Giants vs St Kilda Saints @ Manuka Oval

We were impressed with the way the GWS Giants battled back to beat Gold Coast on Sunday.

It was a gritty performance from a team that has eyes on the title, and beating St Kilda looks likely on Saturday.

The Saints are a solid team, but the Giants lead the way, and we think they’ll be too strong across the park.

Betting tip: GWS –19.5 @ $1.90

GWS by 24

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4:35pm Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows @ Marvel Stadium

Enthusiasm remains high for the Crows, despite not showing anything so far in 2024.

Despite a string of losses, they believe they have a team good enough to compete, and that will be testing against Carlton on Saturday.

The Blues are $1.22 favourites, which is short, but we’re taking Adelaide to cover the spread in what should be a close game.

Betting tip: Adelaide +24.5 @ $1.90

Adelaide by 4

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7:30pm Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks @ People First Stadium

The Suns gave up a lead against GWS last week, but we expect a bounce back performance against Hawthorn.

We’re not discrediting the Hawks, who played well last week in defeat. However, the Suns have much more upside, and playing at home helps.

They have enough firepower to cover the –24.5 spread and producing the goods against Hawthorn will see their season get back on track.

Betting tip: Gold Coast –24.5 @ $1.90

Gold Coast by 30

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7:30pm Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers @ Adelaide Oval

Backing the Power at Adelaide Oval is one of our favourite bets, so we’re including them in our selections.

Port Adelaide often plays its best footy at home, and although Fremantle have exceeded expectations so far, the Power have the edge.

They’re good enough to put Fremantle to the test through the middle of the field and set up easy scoring chances throughout the game.

Betting tip: Port Adelaide –18.5 @ $1.90

Port Adelaide by 25

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Sunday 14/4/24

1:00pm Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos @ GMHBA Stadium

An easy win for the Cats is incoming but covering a 55.5-point spread is what punters need to work out.

Teams have been pumping the Kangaroos, as they have over the last few years, and 2024 is no different for the cellar dwellers.

We expect Geelong to produce the goods and put up a big score on the visitors, who are battling the Eagles for the wooden spoon once again.

Betting tip: Geelong –55.5 @ $1.90

Geelong by 66

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4:00pm West Coast Eagles vs Richmond Tigers @ Optus Stadium

The Eagles get a good chance to keep it close against Richmond, and the market suggests.

They are only +20.5 underdogs, which is a rare sighting for the Eagles, so we’re entertaining their chances against the Tigers.

Most of the early money has come for the 18th-placed team, and that’s a good sign.

Betting tip: West Coast +20.5 @ $1.90

Tigers by 14

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.