We have expert betting tips for AFL Round 5, which starts with St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers on Thursday, April 15.
There are numerous marquee games this week, including West Coast vs Collingwood, Brisbane vs Essendon and Adelaide vs Fremantle.
We do the form to find the best betting opportunities for punters.
AFL Round 5 Tips
7:20pm St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers @ Marvel Stadium
The Saints come off a terrific 102-82 win over West Coast and we’re surprised at the long odds for this game.
Richmond is a tough opponent, but it’s coming off a loss to the Port Adelaide Power and it was a physical game. Recovering from that effort could be tough, so there is value with the Saints on Thursday.
Bookmakers are giving them +16.5 and that’s a healthy margin.
Betting tip: St Kilda Saints +16.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Saints by 4
8:10pm West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies @ Optus Stadium
West Coast enters this game as the firm favourites to beat Collingwood, but a better showing is needed after losing to St Kilda last week.
The Eagles scored 13 goals, so it wasn’t a bad effort. However, allowing St Kilda to get 15 goals and 12 behinds is a concern.
Collingwood was average against GWS, scoring just 60 points. The 30-point loss is why they’re the underdogs for this game and injuries haven’t helped their situation.
Take West Coast to defend home field.
Betting tip: West Coast Eagles –18.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Eagles by 26
4:35pm Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns @ Marvel Stadium
The Western Bulldogs flexed their muscles when beating Brisbane last week and another win looks likely in Round 5.
They come up against the Gold Coast Suns, which showed some fight against Carlton, but the level of opposition increases significantly.
Beating the Bulldogs at home isn’t easy and we expect the Suns to get a touch-up. The current margin is 28.5 points, which could stretch out to around 32.5 come game time.
Betting tip: Western Bulldogs –28.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Bulldogs by 35
4:35pm Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants @ SCG
Sydney had to dig deep to beat the Essendon Bombers last week and it’s a win that they could look back on at the end of the season.
Winning the close games is important, especially when you’re behind most of the game. The Swans now face the Giants, which scored an upset win over Collingwood last week.
The Giants have some major injury problems, which should make this game easier for Sydney. They are the favourites and another win looks likely.
Betting tip: Sydney Swans –16.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Swans by 29
7:25pm Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power @ MCG
Carlton did the job against Gold Coast last week but it might be getting too much respect from bookmakers.
Sportsbet current has the Blues at $2.36, which is too short against the Power. Port Adelaide comes off a gritty two-point win over Richmond and we like that form much better.
Port doesn’t play in Adelaide for this game, but we think its success will continue in Round 5. Punters get value odds and they could be the bet of the round.
Betting tip: Port Adelaide Power –8.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Power by 20
7:25pm Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers @ Gabba
The Lions were poor when losing to the Western Bulldogs last week, but we’re expecting a better performance this time around.
They were outmuscled in the middle, but that shouldn’t be the case against Essendon, which enters after blowing a lead against the Swans.
It’s never easy to bounce back after giving up a game that was there for the taking. It could take Essendon a few weeks to find its groove, so stick with the Lions.
Betting tip: Brisbane Lions –27.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Lions by 31
1:10pm Adelaide Crows vs Fremantle Dockers @ Adelaide Oval
We loved the way the Adelaide fought back from a fourth-quarter deficit against North Melbourne on Sunday. It could have been a banana skin moment for the Crows, but they turned on the Jets in the final quarter.
Adelaide was down by four points but won by the game by 41. North Melbourne had players out with injury, but the Crows had plenty in the tank.
Fremantle defeated Hawthorn 96-81, so they won’t be easy to beat. The Dockers are an improved team this season, but Adelaide isn’t easy to beat at home.
Betting tip: Adelaide Crows to win @ $1.62 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Crows by 16
3:20pm Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons @ MCG
Melbourne has been the surprise package of 2021 after remaining unbeaten. The Demons dispatched of the Geelong Cats with ease on Sunday, so the form stacks up well.
With four wins from four games, the Demons are firing on all cylinders and its ability to get down the field on the counter attack was brilliant.
Hawthorn is a capable team on its day, but against a confident Melbourne side, we don’t fancy their chances of success.
Betting tip: Melbourne Demons –22.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Demons by 31
4:40pm Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos @ GMHBA Stadium
Geelong comes off a loss but it should be able to score a win over North Melbourne.
The season became longer for the Kangaroos after not only losing against Adelaide, but losing a couple of players to injury.
It adds to their woes and some experts are predicting a winless season. They are on track for that to happen and we can’t see them beating the Cats.
This is an ideal time for Geelong to find some confidence.
Betting tip: Geelong Cats –54.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Cats by 72
🤑 Who should you bet with for AFL Round 5?
💰 What is the best bet for AFL Round 5?
To find out our best bets for Round 5 of the AFL season, read our full round 5 preview and betting tips!
📺 How can I watch Round 5 of the AFL season?
For detailed information on how to watch and live stream Round 5 of the AFL season, read our guide on how to live stream AFL!
🏉 What is the fixture for AFL Round 5?
Read our AFL Round 5 preview and bettings tips to find out all of the fixtures and locations for the round!
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.