AFL Premiership Season Preview & Predictions

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AFL Premiership Season Preview & Predictions

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The start of the AFL season is fast approaching and it’s now time to start placing your futures picks.

Geelong is expected to play well according to bookmakers, but there are six teams quoted at $10 or lower, so the defending champions have some competition.

We look at all the best betting markets on betr, including AFL winner, Brownlow Medal winner and Coleman Medal winner. We also have team previews and our 2023 AFL ladder prediction.

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Each week the guys at betr will feature a unique GoBet® Multi market on the AFL – you’ll find it mentioned in our weekly AFL tips and featured on the betr site and app!

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2023 AFL Season Predictions

2023 AFL Premiership Winner – Brisbane Lions

The Lions are on the third line of betting at $7.50 and we think they have strong claims to win the title.

Having a team with Lachie Neale and Joe Daniher should always be respected, especially with Neale expected to compete highly for the Brownlow Medal.

They have a quality team top to bottom, and although they’ll need to get past the Cats or Melbourne at some stage, we believe they can do the job.

Chris Fagan has built a winning culture in Brisbane and we’re prepared to take the odds as they should shorten over the next few weeks.

Bet: Brisbane Lions @ $7.50Bet @ betr

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2023 AFL Premiership Winner Value Bet – Carlton Blues

Backing Carlton is always risky because it doesn’t win premierships all that often. However, we like the 2023 team and the Blues have been well-supported to win.

Betr has the Blues at $9.50 to win the premiership and we expect big things from the likes of Patrick Cripps and Jack Martin. We also think they have some good young signings coming in, such as Jaxon Binns and Lachie Cowan.

They are a value bet at the odds and a top four finish could be achieved.

Bet: Carlton Blues @ $9.50Bet @ betr

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2023 AFL Premiership Long Shot – Fremantle Dockers

We have liked Fremantle for years and they have been a solid bet without winning the premiership.

We’re prepared to stick with the Dockers, who welcome the likes of Josh Corbett, Hugh Davies, and Luke Jackson, which bolsters the team.

They are a $15 chance to win the AFL premiership, so there is good betting support, but they still fall in the long shot category.

Bet: Fremantle Dockers @ $15Bet @ betr

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2023 AFL Brownlow Medal Winner – Lachie Neale

We think the Lions are going to win the title, so it’s natural to pick Neale as our top Brownlow Medal pick.

The 29-year-old won the 2020 Brownlow Medal and he has been knocking on the door for another, so why not put the Lion on top of your selections?

He could still have his best playing days in front of him, and given the structure of the Lions, he should flourish and pick up plenty of Brownlow points throughout the year.

Take the $8, which is just behind current Brownlow Medal favourite Patrick Cripps at $7.

Bet: Lachie Neale @ $8Bet @ betr

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2023 AFL Coleman Medal Winner – Charlie Curnow

It’s not just the name we like, but Charlie Curnow showed Australia what he can do last season.

The defending Coleman Medal winner kicked 64 goals for Carlton last season and anything close to that would be good enough.

We expect big things from Carlton and he should get plenty of scoring opportunities.

Curnow pays $10 and we can’t turn down the double-figure odds.

Bet: Charlie Curnow @ $10Bet @ betr

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2023 AFL Team Previews

Adelaide Crows:

Adelaide is listed near the bottom of premiership markets and with good reason. The Crows picked up some nice draft picks, including Max Michalanney, but not enough to make a serious tilt at the title, nor making the playoffs.

Brisbane Lions:

Big things are expected from the Lions, especially their star players. Neale and Daniher can guide the younger players to victory, including number two draft pick Will Ashcroft, who is an excellent pick up for an already successful team. They haven’t lost much from last season and an improved performance is highly likely.

Carlton Blues:

There is an air of confidence around the Carlton Blues and we are feeling it. They have a well-structured team to make a deep playoff run in 2023. We like their draft picks and bringing in Blake Acres from Fremantle is a nice addition. Carlton is at single figures to win the title and that’s a good sign.

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Collingwood Magpies:

On a similar line to Carlton are the Collingwood Magpies, who have lost a few players from last season. However, getting Billy Frampton from Adelaide and Tom Mitchell from Hawthorn helps their chances. A top four finish is well within their reach and they’re building nicely for another run at the AFL premiership under Craig McRae.

Essendon Bombers:

It could be a long year for Essendon, which we think will struggle. It is a $51 chance to win the title, but just making the playoffs seems out of reach. Expect the win tally to be low for a team that needs to go through a rebuilding phase before thinking about having consistent success.

Fremantle Dockers:

We like what the Dockers are putting together and it hasn’t been missed in betting markets. They are in the mix to win the title and a top four finish is within the realm of possibility. Getting Josh Corbett from Gold Coast and Luke Jackson from Melbourne helps their depth and they’re a team that could pay generous odds for head-to-head games throughout the year.

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Geelong Cats:

The defending champions and current favourites haven’t gotten any worse in the offseason in terms of signings. If anything, they have become stronger with the additions of Jack Bowes and Tanner Bruhn, so along with draft pick Jyhe Clark, they should be right around the mark. Geelong typically starts strong, so expect its odds to firm straight away.

Gold Coast Suns:

Getting Bailey Humphrey in the draft was about the only good news for the Gold Coast Sun. They traded away some of their stronger players and we can’t see them making much of an impact this season. They are $51 to win and bookmakers have those odds correct.

GWS Giants:

Expected to struggle, the Giants are more likely to win the wooden spoon than they are to make the playoffs. Aaron Cadman is an exciting addition, but the youngster can’t have much of an impact on a team used to losing. We would prefer to entertain the Giants’ chances in about 3-4 years’ time.

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Hawthorn Hawks:

At odds of $151, the Hawks are likely to finish near the bottom of the ladder. They picked up some solid draft picks, but 2023 isn’t their year. Years down the track could prove profitable for Hawks’ backers, but we would steer clear of them.

Melbourne Demons:

Melbourne is a team built for success, and although they came up short last year, it could turn the tables. On the second line of betting, the Demons are expected to play well and their offence could lead the way. We’re excited to see what Matthew Jefferson will bring to the table as a rookie.

North Melbourne Kangaroos:

What is there to say about the Kangaroos?  They are terrible and expected to finish at the bottom of the table again. Getting solid draft picks helps in the future but the core of the Kangaroos roster struggles to show any consistency. Finishing in the top 14 would be considered a successful year for the wooden spoon favourites.

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Port Adelaide Power:

We typically have Port Adelaide in our top selections but not this year. The Power didn’t sign anyone of note and we think they needed to improve their roster to have any chance. Losing the likes of Robbie Gray and Karl Amon doesn’t help their cause, so we think they could be the big underachievers.

Richmond Tigers:

On the fourth line of betting, the Richmond Tigers will be around the mark as always. They have great depth to their roster and experience that not many other teams have. Having the likes of Dustin Martin, Jack Riewoldt, and Tom Lynch is tough to overlook, so we’re expecting nothing short of another quality season.

St Kilda Saints:

We expect the Saints to finish somewhere around the middle of the table. There’s nothing to get excited about in the signing department and their existing players aren’t good enough to make a winning run. However, punters could get value odds at times throughout the year.

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Sydney Swans:

Hammered in last year’s AFL Final, the Sydney Swans are out for redemption. They are $10 to go one better and win the title, which is possible. Losing Josh Kennedy isn’t ideal but they get Aaron Francis from Essendon and some nice draft picks. If Lance Franklin has another big year, anything is possible.

West Coast Eagles:

The glory days of the West Coast Eagles are gone and we think it’ll be another long year. They could build for the future, but in terms of their 2023 hopes, we can’t see them making a push for a playoff spot.

Western Bulldogs:

We think bookmakers have the Bulldogs a touch short at $15. We priced them around $21, but they could still have a good year. They showed some guts last season to make the playoffs and a repeat of that could be on the cards. However, just making the top eight in 2022 isn’t premiership-worthy form.

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2023 AFL Ladder Prediction

  1. Brisbane
  2. Carlton
  3. Geelong
  4. Melbourne
  5. Fremantle
  6. Richmond
  7. Sydney
  8. Collingwood
  9. Western Bulldogs
  10. Port Adelaide
  11. St Kilda
  12. Essendon
  13. GWS
  14. Gold Coast
  15. Adelaide
  16. Hawthorn
  17. West Coast
  18. North Melbourne
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🤑 Who should you bet with for the AFL season?

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For betting on our expert AFL tips, we recommend checking out our top Australian bookmakers, betting sites, AFL betting sites and betting apps.

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.