Brisbane vs. Carlton Predictions – AFL Round 9 2026

We have Brisbane vs. Carlton predictions for AFL Round 9 on Friday, May 8 at 7:30pm at the Gabba.

A one-sided game is expected to kick off action on Friday, with the defending champions listed as –42.5-point favourites.

Best Bet

Brisbane –42.5 @ $1.90

It’s a big line for Brisbane to cover, but based on what we’ve seen from Carlton, we can’t include the Blues in our AFL predictions this week.

Carlton is riding a long losing streak, culminating with a 106-69 loss to St Kilda last week. Expectations were high, but it’s another concerning loss for the Blues, who have a shocking record against Brisbane. They have lost 19 of their last 20 games against Brisbane, so it would take a brave punter to back them.

Brisbane hit back with two wins following its close loss to Melbourne. Recent wins over Adelaide and Essendon bode well, and the Lions defeated the Bombers 143-79 last week, so punters should expect a similar score on Friday night.

The line might seem daunting, but we don’t see Carlton putting up much of a fight.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane –42.5, Zac Bailey 2+ Goals, Mitch McGovern 2+ Goals, Total Points Over 187.5 @ $8.00

Zac Bailey kicked four goals against Essendon last week, making it seven goals from his last two games. He is a good chance of kicking 2+ goals, and the $1.56 odds are worth including in AFL SGM picks this week.

Carlton could struggle to kick goals, but Mitch McGovern is their best chance. He has 11 goals from his last five games. Bookmakers have him at $1.96, which is a price worth including in AFL bets.

Over 187.5 points is our last multi addition. Brisbane should score around 110-120 points, and we only need Carlton to show some ability on offence to cash the over.

Best Value Bet

Kai Lohmann First Goal Scorer @ $10.00

Punters get value odds for Kai Lohmann to kick the first goal, and he could get Brisbane off to a fast start.

He had a great game against Essendon with four goals, so his confidence levels should be sky-high, and he can ride that momentum with an early goal against Carlton.

The double-figure odds are better than expected from bookmakers, so include him in picks as a value bet.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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