Brisbane vs. Geelong Predictions

We have Brisbane vs. Geelong predictions for AFL Round 10 on Thursday, May 14 at 7:30pm at the Gabba.

Punters get a good game to kick off the week, where Brisbane looks to win its fourth consecutive match.

Best Bet

Brisbane –15.5 @ $1.90

The defending champions have hit top gear after posting three consecutive wins over Adelaide, Essendon, and Carlton. They didn’t face much in the way of opposition, but their 127-75 win over Adelaide was a good result.

Geelong is also playing well after putting on a clinic against Collingwood, and although they should be up for the Grand Final rematch, the Cats will need to improve to keep this game close. They don’t play well in Brisbane, and the Lions love playing at the Gabba.

It’s why Brisbane is the –15.5 favourite in the top five clash, and they should cover the spread. They’re a confident team, and they could extend their winning streak with a comfortable victory on Thursday night.

We recommend taking the –15.5 line before money comes for the home team, as they are often well-backed on game day.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane –15.5, Kai Lohmann 2+ Goals, Logan Morris 3+ Goals, Total Points Over 185.5 @ $8.00

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Kai Lohmann has been money for punters over the last two weeks with six goals. He scored a double against Carlton last week, but with Brisbane taking their foot off the gas in the second half, he could have scored more.

Logan Morris comes off consecutive four-goal games. He’s red-hot, and it’s why his odds are short to kick 2+ goals. Therefore, we have him kicking 3+ goals at $1.88. It’s a fair price in what should be a high-scoring contest.

We have Brisbane scoring 100+ points, which should be enough for over 185.5 to come through for AFL SGM punters.

Best Value Bet

Darcy Wilmot 25+ Disposals @ $3.66

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Punters get value odds for Darcy Wilmot 25+ disposals. The Lions player had 32 disposals against the Bombers two weeks ago, and although he had only 13 against Carlton, he could fire back with another busy night.

The odds are better than expected, and despite Lachie Neale dominating the ball, Wilmot should get involved. He has had 25+ disposals in two of his last four games, so he’s a good statistical bet.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.