Brisbane vs. Hawthorn Predictions

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We have Brisbane vs. Hawthorn predictions for AFL Round 22 on Friday, August 7 at 7:40pm at the Gabba.

It’s one of the biggest games of the week as the Lions look to bounce back from a loss against the surging Hawks.

Best Bet

Brisbane -5.5 @ $1.90

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One of the best times to back Brisbane is following a loss, and although they were manhandled by Carlton last week, punters shouldn’t expect a similar effort.

Last week’s 154-78 loss didn’t look good to the eye, but Brisbane has a short memory. They have been good at bouncing back from disappointment over the last years, which is why they won the premiership title last year.

Their previous form was excellent, including a 123-101 win over Geelong, and if they’re anywhere near that level, they can handle Hawthorn, who bounced back from a loss to Melbourne with four consecutive wins.

This game has big finals ramifications, and Brisbane has slipped to fifth on the ladder. However, we have them playing their best and sending a message. They’re still title threats, and playing at the Gabba is a recipe for success.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane -5.5, Logan Morris 3+ Goals, Kai Lohmann 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 186.5 @ $12.50

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Logan Morris didn’t score last week against Carlton, which didn’t help their cause. He looked good when kicking three goals against Port Adelaide, which is a better form guide, and punters get $2.55 for Morris to kick 3+ goals on Friday.

Kai Lohmann has 17 goals from his last five games, so he’s firing on all cylinders. We have backed Lohmann most weeks and he’s worth including in AFL SGM picks again. The $1.77 odds for 2+ goals are generous from bookmakers.

The line is set in the high range at 186.5 points. That’s too high for our liking, so we’re locking in the under.

Best Value Bet

Will Ashcroft 2+ Goals @ $4.90

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Will Ashcroft 2+ goals has been a good bet recently, having kicked two goals in each of his last two games.

He has seven goals in his last four games, so he’s not being respected in AFL betting markets, so we’re hoping to cash in with the value odds.

$4.90 for 2+ goals is too good to turn down, so back him as a value bet.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl Curnow was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.