
We have Brisbane vs. Port Adelaide predictions for AFL Round 20 on Sunday, July 26 at 1:10pm at the Gabba.
Brisbane looks to solidify its spot inside the top four with a win over Port Adelaide, and based on the $1.11 odds, it shouldn’t be too difficult.
Best Bet
Port Adelaide doesn’t have a good record at the Gabba, and that’s why we have the Lions scoring a one-sided win this week.
Brisbane is enjoying a winning streak after beating West Coast last week, and although it wasn’t the most comprehensive performance, they did enough to secure the victory against a struggling team.
The Power are better than the Eagles, but we would have much preferred to bet on the Power at the Adelaide Oval. They’re a team that struggles to perform well on the road, and playing well against Brisbane at the Gabba is easier said than done.
Covering the –38.5 line won’t be too difficult if Brisbane starts well, and they should hit the ground running with a big first quarter. That will force Port Adelaide to take risks, and they’re unlikely to pay off in the second half.
Same Game Multi
Logan Morris kicked only one goal last week, but that’s not a common performance. He has 12 goals from his last five games, and he’ll get his opportunities to score on Sunday. Port’s defence can struggle with players like Morris, so back him to kick 3+ goals.
Kai Lohmann is enjoying a good period of goal-kicking form after posting 14 goals from his last four games. It’s an impressive streak, and punters could keep cashing in. The $1.62 odds to kick 2+ goals is a good AFL SGM pick.
We’re going with under 189.5 points based on our predictions for Port Adelaide’s attack. Brisbane could shut them down, so the under is worth including.
Best Value Bet
We’re banking on Lohmann having another big game for Brisbane, and the $2.90 odds for 3+ goals are too good to turn down.
He has three consecutive 3+ goal performances, and playing against Port Adelaide shouldn’t see those numbers drop.
We love his energy levels, and he could add to his already impressive tally.
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