Brownlow Medal Betting Tips & Predictions

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Brownlow Medal Betting Tips & Predictions

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The AFL Brownlow Medal is a celebration of the games’ best players and there a few players expected to make a run for it on Monday night.

Nick Daicos is the current favourite, but only just over Marcus Bontempelli, who had a cracker season.

We look at the best Brownlow Medal, including top 5, leader after Round 10 and most three-vote games.


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Brownlow Medal Betting Tips

2023 Brownlow Medal Winner – Nick Daicos

We’re going with the favourite to win the Brownlow Medal, and we feel confident in his chances.

It has been some second season for the 20-year-old, who comes from good stock, and he’s the best rising star in the game.

Daicos, who plays for the Collingwood Magpies, has scored 18 goals from 20 games, which is an 11-goal improvement from his rookie year, and he’s played five less games.

He would have been shorter with the sportsbook had he played the full season, but we’re confident he has polled well enough to hold on.

The 2022 Rising Star winner is going from strength-to-strength and getting $2.80 for Daicos to win is worth snapping up.

Bet: Nick Daicos @ $2.80

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2023 Brownlow Medal Next Value Pick – Marcus Bontempelli

It’s almost impossible not to have Bontempelli in our selections. The Western Bulldog is always around the mark in Brownlow Medal markets, and he will be again in 2023.

He scored 19 goals and 14 behinds from 23, and although it’s not close to his 31-goal effort in 2021, which garnered him 33 votes, he still had a big season.

The only accolade he hasn’t won is the Brownlow Medal, and although it looks as though Daicos had the better season, never rule out Bontempelli.

He has a big impact all around the park, and that doesn’t go unmissed by voters, which is why he’s on the second line of betting at $3.

Bet: Marcus Bontempelli @ $3

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Brownlow Medal Top 5 – Lachie Neale

We love betting on Lachie Neale because he does all the little things right.

He might not be a noted goal scorer, especially in 2023 with just three goals, but his impact on the game is more than most players.

He’s a $1.61 chance to poll in the top five, and it’s tough to bet against him. We don’t think he’ll go close to beating Diacos and Bontempelli, but he’s good enough to see out the charge from the likes of Caleb Serong and Errol Gulden for top five honours.

The odds are short but he’s worth including in AFL multis.

Bet: Lachie Neale @ $1.61

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Leader After Round 10 – Clayton Oliver

Diacos is the $1.67 favourite and rightfully so, but Clayton Oliver has every chance of causing an upset.

The Melbourne Demon played only 13 games, but he had a good impact, scoring six goals and doing positive things around the park.

Punters get excellent value for Oliver, and it’s almost too good to pass up.

Bet: Clayton Oliver @ $6

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Most Three-Vote Games – Nick Daicos

We sound like a broken record, but Diacos is worth backing with this betting option.

He might have had quite a few two-point games because Collingwood is packed full of quality players, but we’re confident he had more than the rest of the pack.

There is some trepidation in the market, but punters get shorter odds with this option than winning the Brownlow Medal, so bookmakers see it as a safer option.

We expect the $2.35 to shorten over the weekend, so take the odds available now.

Bet: Nick Daicos @ $2.35

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.