
We have Carlton vs. Gold Coast predictions for AFL Round 20 on Saturday, July 25 at 1:05pm at Marvel Stadium.
Super Saturday starts with the Blues vs. SUNS, and bookmakers expect a close game with Carlton paying $1.67 to win outright.
Best Bet
There has been money for Gold Coast over the last few weeks, but they’re riding an eight-game losing streak, and we don’t want to include them in our picks.
Carlton comes off consecutive losses after a mid-season resurgence, but despite those losses, they have much better form coming into this game. The losses came against Hawthorn and Collingwood, and the scoreline last week didn’t reflect how close the game was.
There isn’t much between these teams, but playing at home is a big advantage for Carlton, and they still have a chance of making the AFL finals. We don’t believe Gold Coast has much chance of making it, nor do they deserve to, so include Carlton –6.5 in AFL picks this week.
We expect the line to move to around –8.5 on game day, so it’s worth taking the early line whilst it’s available.
Same Game Multi
Mitch McGovern has been a steady player for Carlton, having kicked seven goals from his last four games. He kicked a double last week in a loss to Collingwood, and if Carlton wants to win, he needs a big game. Punters get $1.53 for 2+ goals, which is a solid multi bet boost.
Ben Long hasn’t been the most consistent SUNS player, but he’s good on his day. He kicked four goals only four games ago, and although he had only one last week, we expect a bounce back effort. The $2.35 odds for 2+ goals are too good to pass up.
The shackles could break loose, and we predict a high-scoring contest. Both teams are desperate for a big showing, and it could result in a high scoring game, so include over 172.5 points in AFL SGM picks.
Best Value Bet
Punters get big odds for George Hewett to kick a double, and it’s something he has done a couple of times recently.
The Carlton player has five goals from his last five games, including back-to-back two-goal efforts, which bodes well for this week’s game.
The $8.25 odds are generous, so include him for value.
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