Carlton vs. Western Bulldogs Predictions – AFL Round 10 2026

We have Carlton vs. Western Bulldogs predictions for AFL Round 10 on Saturday, May 16 at 7:35pm at Marvel Stadium.

The Blues have had a tough week, but that hasn’t stopped money coming for the underdog to pull off an upset.

Best Bet

Western Bulldogs –11.5 @ $1.90

Despite most of the money coming for Carlton to turn their form around, we can’t see it happening, so we’re jumping on the line for the Bulldogs.

Michael Voss resigned as Carlton’s coach this week, which isn’t a good sign, and although some teams play well for a new coach, Carlton has much bigger problems on its hands this season, and we’re happy to bet against them.

The Bulldogs aren’t getting much respect with AFL odds. They are 13-0 in their last 13 away games at Marvel Stadium, and after beating Port Adelaide in a thriller last week, they should use that momentum to score another win.

The –11.5 line is much better than expected, so include it in AFL picks this week.

Same Game Multi

Western Bulldogs –11.5, Aaron Naughton 3+ Goals, Rhylee West 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 187.5 @ $9.00

Aaron Naughton should fancy his chances of kicking 3+ goals on Saturday night. He has been kicking early goals for the Bulldogs before going quiet in the second half, but he will get plenty of scoring opportunities in front of goals.

Rhylee West will also get many scoring opportunities. He kicked two goals in each of his last two games, and the Bulldogs could do with him scoring 2-3 goals. Punters get $2.15 to include in AFL SGM picks, which drives the odds up.

Carlton could struggle to score points, having failed to score 90+ points in their last five games. That adds weight to including under 187.5 points in multis, which is a higher line than expected.

Best Value Bet

Western Bulldogs 40+ @ $3.70

Carlton showed some fight against Brisbane last week, but it’s still not good enough to win, and after going through a coaching change this week, they could come out flat against the Bulldogs.

We have the Bulldogs scoring a comprehensive win, and although going against betting moves isn’t always profitable, Carlton hasn’t done right by punters in 2026.

The Bulldogs are on the rise, and they could win by 40+ points at generous odds.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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