
We have Collingwood vs. Carlton predictions for AFL Round 19 on Saturday, July 18 at 7:35pm at the MCG.
Collingwood are $1.66 favourites against Carlton, in what is a crucial match for the outlook of the top eight.
Best Bet
Collingwood is a –6.5 favourite, which is worth including in picks as well, but there is better value in the 1-39 margin at $2.25.
A close contest is expected between the Magpies and Blues, and based on their recent form, Collingwood should have the edge over a Carlton team looking to bounce back following a loss to Hawthorn.
The Magpies posted four consecutive wins over Port Adelaide, Richmond, Gold Coast, and North Melbourne. It’s not elite opposition, but it’s enough to boost confidence levels, and with Carlton scoring only 39 points last week, their confidence took a dive.
Collingwood has won eight of their last nine games against Carlton, which is a dominant record and we have them winning by around 10-15 points. The $2.25 odds are generous from bookmakers, so take Collingwood to do enough to beat Carlton in a thrilling encounter.
Same Game Multi
Daniel McStay and Harry McKay should make an impact on this game, and we have them scoring 2+ goals for their respective teams.
McStay comes off consecutive three-goal games, and he’s giving Collingwood every chance to succeed. He pays $1.67 to kick 2+ goals, so include him in multis. Punters get $1.86 for McKay to kick 2+ goals, which is also worth including. He has only one goal from his last two games, so Carlton could dearly do with him firing back with a big effort.
They combined for 171 points in their April meeting, where Collingwood won 88-83. We wouldn’t be surprised to see a similar score, so include over 170.5 points.
Best Value Bet
We predict a big game for McStay, and we’re hoping to capitalise on the generous odds from bookmakers.
He wasn’t firing earlier this season with three goals in a three-game stretch, but with three goals against both Gold Coast and North Melbourne, he has given Collingwood a much-needed shot in the arm.
Take the $3.15 odds for a 3+ goal performance.
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