
We have Collingwood vs. West Coast predictions for AFL Round 11 on Saturday, May 23 at 4:35pm at the MCG.
Bookmakers have 43.5 points between Collingwood and West Coast, but it could be a closer game than expected.
Best Bet
It’s not often we have West Coast in our AFL picks, but the +43.5-point start is too much to turn away from.
West Coast comes off a rare win over GWS, so their confidence levels are high, and now is the best time to include them in picks. They play a Collingwood team suffering with confidence levels after losing their last two games against Geelong and Sydney.
Collingwood will welcome a much easier opponent, but it’s not easy to beat teams by 44+ points, and we don’t think the Magpies have it in them given their current form.
There was only 29 points the difference in their most recent meeting, and that was with West Coast scoring only three fourth quarter points. We expect a similar outcome, so back West Coast with the generous points start this week.
Same Game Multi
Jake Waterman is the shining light for West Coast. He has nine goals from his last three games, and he has given them a shot in the arm on offence. The odds for 2+ goals are on the shorter side, but the odds give our AFL SGM odds a boost.
Punters get $1.89 for Nick Daicos to kick 2+ goals, which is a good price. He kicked two goals in a big game last week against Sydney, and he should get better chances to score against West Coast.
Their last two games have been low scoring, including 157 points last year at Marvel Stadium, so include under 180.5 points in multis.
Best Value Bet
We don’t have complete faith in the Magpies after ten rounds, and they could struggle to put West Coast away by a big margin.
We expect West Coast to cover the spread, and they should keep it within 39 points. Punters get $2.65 for Collingwood to win by 1-39, and those odds are worth including in NBA value bets.
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