Essendon vs. Adelaide Predictions - AFL Round 21 2026Ended

We have Essendon vs. Adelaide predictions for AFL Round 21 on Sunday, August 2 at 4:40pm at Marvel Stadium.

Closing out the week is a one-sided betting affair between the Bombers and Crows, where Adelaide looks to get back into the top four.

Best Bet

Adelaide -44.5 @ $1.90

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It will take a brave punter to bet on Essendon following last week’s performance, and we’re not that brave.

Their win over GWS was short lived after suffering a 132-39 loss to Hawthorn last week, where they didn’t fire a shot. It was a disappointing effort, and the focus now moves to rebuilding for the 2027 campaign.

Adelaide looks to rebound after being dominated by Collingwood at home. It was a poor loss from a team that had beaten Sydney the week prior, but it could have been an ideal loss to have before the finals.

We expect them to bounce back with a big performance against Essendon, and although the -44.5 spread is tough to cover, with the way Essendon folded last week, Adelaide could put up a cricket score.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide -44.5, Riley Thilthorpe 3+ Goals, Taylor Walker 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 172.5 @ $12.25

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We have been critical of Riley Thilthorpe at times this season, but we’re hoping he has turned the corner with two good efforts recently. He kicked three goals in a losing effort last week, and that’s the output Adelaide needs to success.

Tex Walker has eight goals from his last two games, and the rest he had when Adelaide defeated Sydney could pay off. He has a good chance of kicking 2+ goals, so include him in AFL SGM picks.

We’re including under 172.5 points. Essendon could struggle to score over 50 points, and that should be enough to secure the under. Their last meeting resulted in a whopping 261 points, but times have changed.

Best Value Bet

Finnbar Maley 2+ Goals @ $3.25

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Finbarr Maley has four goals from his last five games, and although he didn’t score a double during that run, he wasn’t far off.

He’ll get his opportunity to kick a couple of goals against a struggling Essendon defence, and he only needs to be accurate for punters to collect.

The $3.25 odds are worth including in AFL Round 21 picks.

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Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl Curnow was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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