
We have Essendon vs. Carlton predictions for AFL Round 13 on Sunday, June 7 at 7:20pm at the MCG.
Essendon is still awaiting a new coach, and until James Hird (hopefully) becomes coach, they could be worth backing against.
Best Bet
Essendon is riding a 16-game losing streak in Victoria, and we expect that streak to continue against a resurgent Carlton.
The Blues had been struggling on and off the field to start the year, but after three consecutive wins, they’re back in contention for a finals spot if things keep trending in a positive direction.
After beating the Bulldogs, Power, and Cats, momentum is firmly on their side, and last week’s win against Geelong should have their confidence levels sky high. Facing the struggling Bombers isn’t as hard, and we don’t think they’ll take their foot off the gas.
The –30.5 line is slightly bigger than expected, but Essendon doesn’t have much going for it, and until they pull the trigger with signing Hird as their head coach, we want nothing to do with betting on them.
Same Game Multi
Carlton won last week with Harry McKay not kicking a goal, which is a good effort. He has only one goal from his last two games, but we expect a big bounce back effort. $1.73 for 2+ goals is a fair price with AFL odds, so include him in multis.
Brodie Kemp has consecutive two-goal games, and he’s trending in the right direction. He kicked two big goals against Geelong, so he’s worth including in AFL picks this week.
It’s often a low-scoring game between Essendon and Carlton, but this game could buck the trend. Our final score prediction has Carlton winning 107-70, so include the over.
Best Value Bet
Punters get generous odds for McKay to kick the first goal, and he will be eager to get on the board early.
He hasn’t been at his best over the last two games, at least in the kicking department, but his size should be enough to out-muscle the Essendon defence.
Look for him to get a chance early in the game, and he could get Carlton off to a fast start.
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