Essendon vs. St Kilda Predictions – AFL Round 17 2026

We have Essendon vs. St Kilda predictions for AFL Round 17 on Sunday, July 5 at 3:15pm at Marvel Stadium.

Essendon looks to see off the dreaded wooden spoon, but beating St Kilda could prove easier said than done to kick off Sunday action.

Best Bet

St Kilda –28.5 @ $1.90

We have given Essendon a lot of chances this season, but after losing to North Melbourne last week, we can’t find room for them in our AFL predictions this week.

St Kilda isn’t playing much better after posting four losses from their last five games. However, they have faced harder teams during that span. They lost to Fremantle, Hawthorn, and Sydney before beating Gold Coast, and that’s a tough schedule.

They dropped to 13th on the AFL ladder following a loss to the Western Bulldogs in Round 15, but they have a bye week under their belts, and they should be too good for a struggling Essendon team on Sunday.

Essendon is 0-19 in its last 19 matches in Victoria, which isn’t a good look, and we expect St Kilda to capitalise with a comprehensive victory.

Same Game Multi

St Kilda –28.5, Liam Ryan 3+ Goals, Jack Higgins 2+ Goals, Total Points Over 179.5 @ $8.00

Liam Ryan didn’t score a goal for St Kilda against the Bulldogs, but the team didn’t kick too many goals in general. Ryan looked much better when kicking six goals against GWS, and he has 14 goals from his last four games. Punters get $2.50 for a 3+ goal afternoon, which is a good price.

Jack Higgins could also get back to his scoring best with 2+ goals. He had nine goals in a two-game spread earlier this season, so he’s capable of producing the goods for punters. His odds are short at $1.57, but he boosts AFL SGM odds.

We are worried about Essendon’s scoring, but we have this game going over 179.5 points. The final score should be around 106-76, which is enough to cash the multi bet.

Best Value Bet

Hugo Garcia 1+ Goal @ $3.50

Hugo Garcia doesn’t have a habit of scoring goals, but he scored a goal against the Bulldogs, and many of the St Kilda stars didn’t.

We’re backing Garcia to get another goal at generous $3.50 odds, and his confidence levels should be high. The odds make him a worthwhile value bet in the Essendon vs. St Kilda game.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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