
We have Fremantle vs. St Kilda predictions for AFL Round 11 on Friday, May 22 at 8:30pm at Optus Stadium.
Another marquee game of the week is Fremantle vs. St Kilda, where the Dockers are heavily favoured to win at home.
Best Bet
The Dockers look like genuine premiership contenders after beating the likes of Hawthorn and Essendon recently, and St Kilda is the next target in their sights.
It’s hard to beat a team that can turn things around quickly during the game, and Fremantle could be losing by double digits heading into the last quarter but win by 20+ points.
St Kilda hasn’t been the most consistent team, which is why the Saints are ninth on the AFL premiership. They lost to Gold Coast in Round 9 before beating Richmond last week, but that’s not the best form guide when facing teams like Fremantle.
We expect the class of the Dockers to be too much for St Kilda, so we’re snapping up the –25.5 line. It’s a fair line from bookmakers, but based on their attacking threats, we’re confident with our AFL pick this week.
Same Game Multi
Jye Amiss hasn’t been missing much recently. He has 13 goals from his last five games, including three games with 3+ goals. Therefore, we’re taking the $2.10 odds for a 3+ goal performance against St Kilda on Friday night.
Patrick Voss had five goals against Essendon, and although St Kilda’s defence is more formidable, we fancy his chances of another good scoring night. The $1.77 odds are better than expected, so include it in AFL picks this week.
It’s usually a low-scoring affair when Fremantle and St Kilda meet, so under 176.5 points is a good AFL SGM pick.
Best Value Bet
We don’t have any questions about whether Fremantle can put the hurt on teams and win by 40+ points. They have a lethal attack that can strike at any point, and that’s tough to ignore.
St Kilda has played well at times, but we don’t see them keeping up with Fremantle’s scorers, and the Dockers could win by 40+ points.
The $2.55 odds are good enough to include as a value bet.
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