Geelong vs. Brisbane Predictions – AFL Finals Week 1 2025

We have Geelong vs. Brisbane predictions for AFL action on Friday September 5 at 7:40pm at the MCG.

Finals Week 1 action continues with last year’s title winner Brisbane looking to steal a win on the road against a rampaging Cats.

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Geelong vs. Brisbane Predictions

Best Bet

Geelong –7.5 @ $1.90

We are loving the line for the Cats at –7.5. It’s a value line for punters to enjoy on Friday, and we believe the Cats will be too good for the Lions at home.

Geelong continued its winning streak with an easy win over Richmond, and although money has come for Brisbane following its win over Hawthorn, the trend of Brisbane has been to win a couple of games before losing an important game.

This is an important game, and given Geelong’s form, we expect it to win and cover the spread. Everything sets up for a Grand Final meeting against Adelaide, but they must first get past a pesky Brisbane team, and they should.

Same Game Multi

Geelong -7.5, Jeremy Cameron 3+ Goals, Shannon Neale 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 170.5 @ $7.00

Our Geelong vs. Brisbane SGM odds are boosted by Jeremy Cameron 3+ goals. He is the Cats’ best goal-scoring option, and we expect him to have a big game. He comes off some good performances, and getting $1.96 is a fair price from bookmakers.

We also like Shannon Neale to score 2+ goals in what should be a high-scoring contest. Geelong’s offence is set for a big performance, especially after being held to 51 points against Brisbane earlier this year.

Neale could spearhead their offence to set up a big win, and punters get $1.86 for him to score 2+ goals.

Best Value Bet

Jeremy Cameron First Goal Scorer @ $8.00

Give us $8 for Cameron to score the first goal and we’ll happily take it. He’s the top choice for the Cats, and he could take a big mark in the opening few minutes.

His accuracy in front of goal is better than most, and he could get on the end of a perfect kick to set Geelong up with the early lead.

Include him in AFL picks as a value bet.

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.