Geelong vs. Collingwood Predictions – AFL Round 9 2026

We have Geelong vs. Collingwood predictions for AFL Round 9 on Saturday, May 9 at 7:35pm at the MCG.

Saturday action closes with the Cats vs. Magpies, and it should be a cracking contest to end the day.

Best Bet

Geelong –12.5 @ $1.90

Consistency has been tough to come by for Geelong, but this is their chance to put a quality win on the board against Collingwood.

Most of Geelong’s recent wins came against teams outside the top eight, including North Melbourne, Western Bulldogs, and West Coast, but they dominated those games, so they should have confidence.

Collingwood defeated Carlton and Essendon before settling for a late draw against Hawthorn, and this game could come down to their attitude. They should have won that game, so Geelong could jump on them early to get the doubts set in.

Geelong is 2-0 in their last two games against Collingwood, and we’re backing them to win and cover the –12.5 spread in what should be an exciting contest.

Same Game Multi

Geelong –12.5, Shannon Neale 2+ Goals, Jack Bowles 1+ Goal, Total Points Over 178.5 @ $8.20

Shannon Neale has been a good bet this season, and we’re looking to cash in again. Neale has 12 goals from his last five games, and we’re surprised by the $1.60 odds for him to kick 2+ goals against Collingwood.

As he did last week, Jack Bowles could get in on the action. He kicked a goal against North Melbourne, and the $1.86 to kick a goal this week is worth including in AFL SGM picks.

Bookmakers have the total points number at 178.5, which is lower than expected. It could be a goal-fest, so include the over in multi picks.

Best Value Bet

Tanner Bruhn 7+ Tackles @ $3.70

Tanner Bruhn has two 7+ tackle games in his last four matches, so we’ve spotted the value for the Cats player.

He had seven tackles against North Melbourne last week, and although tackling Collingwood is harder, he should get his chances to have a big game.

He’s a player who could go under the radar with AFL prop bets, but the value is there, and $3.70 is a fair price from bookmakers. We priced him at $2.60, so include him in AFL value bets.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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