Geelong vs. Essendon Predictions - AFL Round 22 2026Ended

We have Geelong vs. Essendon predictions for AFL Round 22 on Saturday, August 8 at 4:35pm at GMHBA Stadium.

Geelong are the $1.01 favourites to post a win over Essendon, which shouldn’t be too difficult given their respective form.

Best Bet

Geelong -64.5 @ $1.90

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Geelong is 17-0 in their last 17 home matches against Essendon, and it would take a brave punter to bet against them.

We have no doubt Geelong will win the game, but covering a -64.5 spread is tough, even playing against the worst team in the competition. However, given the way Essendon has played recently, we can’t put our hard-earned money on them.

They scored a huge upset win over GWS in Round 19 but followed it with big losses to Hawthorn and Adelaide. They face another top eight team on the weekend, and it should be a similar result to those games.

Geelong comes off three consecutive wins against St Kilda, Melbourne, and Collingwood, so they’re back in title contention, and we can’t see Essendon being much of a roadblock on their way to the finals. Take the -64.5 line before it moves during the week.

Same Game Multi

Geelong -64.5, Shannon Neale 3+ Goals, Oliver Henry 3+ Goals, Total Points Over 183.5 @ $8.00

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Shannon Neale and Oliver Henry are good chances to kick 3+ goals. Neale had five goals in a win over Melbourne, and although he had only two last week, Essendon’s defence isn’t good enough to keep him at bay. Punters get short odds of $1.55, but they’re good enough to boost AFL SGM odds.

Henry pays better odds at $2.08, and we predict him to have a big game. He has seven goals from his last two games, and he’s trending in the right direction.

Seven of the last eight games between Geelong and Essendon have gone over the total, so include over 183.5 points in multi bets.

Best Value Bet

Tom Atkins 1+ Goal @ $3.80

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Everyone could get into the action for Geelong, even Tom Atkins, who is going under the radar with bookmakers.

He has two goals in his last three games, so he’s in a good vein of form, and getting $3.80 for Atkins to kick a goal is a great price.

Chasing a better price on your next bet? Compare our top-rated AFL betting sites, or check out the newest betting sites. Joining a new bookie this week? The RipperBet code GOBET500 has the sign-up details.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl Curnow was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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