Geelong vs. Sydney Predictions

We have Geelong vs. Sydney predictions for AFL Round 11 on Saturday, May 23 at 4:15pm at GMHBA Stadium.

It’s a massive game on Saturday as the Cats look to close on the Swans for the top spot on the AFL ladder.

Best Bet

Sydney +10.5 @ $1.90

There hasn’t been much love for Sydney in betting markets, but they keep finding ways to win, and they could show why they’re leading the competition.

Geelong might have a good record at this stadium, which is why they’re the favourites to win, but they’re due a poor showing after beating Brisbane with ease last week. Brisbane didn’t play physically enough to hang with Geelong, which shouldn’t be the case with Sydney.

We expect the Swans to come out with aggression, and they know they need to strike early against a confidence Cats outfit. We have the Swans getting on the board early with a couple of goals and putting pressure on Geelong to bounce back.

The +10.5 line is worth taking for a team that keeps delivering for punters. They haven’t done anything wrong so far, so we’re staying loyal and taking the generous line.

Same Game Multi

Sydney +10.5, Charlie Curnow 3+ Goals, Isaac Heeney 2+ Goals, Total Points Over 189.5 @ $10.20

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Consistency hasn’t been there for Charlie Curnow, but after scoring just two goals in his last two games combined, he could bounce back with 3+ goals on Saturday. Punters can latch on to the $2.45 odds, which gives AFL SGM odds a huge boost.

Isaac Heeney kicked only one goal last week, but he still had a big game in other departments. We expect him to play big minutes in a key game, and he could come to the party with 2+ goals, which pays a healthy $2.30.

It could be a goal-fest at GHMBA Stadium, and it should be one of the most exciting games of the season so far. Include over 189.5 points in AFL multi picks.

Best Value Bet

Sydney 1-39 @ $3.05

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Beating the Cats at this venue isn’t easy, but Sydney has improved to a different level in 2026, and they are good enough to pose a threat.

They lead the premiership, which deserves respect, and they’re ready to beat the best teams like Geelong, so this could be a statement performance.

Punters get $3.05 for a 1-39 win, in what should be a close game.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.