GWS vs. Brisbane Predictions - AFL Round 11 2026

We have GWS vs. Brisbane predictions for AFL Round 11 on Sunday, May 24 at 12:30pm at ENGIE Stadium.

Kicking off action on Sunday is GWS vs. Brisbane, where the Lions are –14.5 favourites on the road.

Best Bet

Brisbane –14.5 @ $1.90

Brisbane can be tough to predict, but the reigning premiers should have too much class for GWS to handle on Sunday.

The Lions look to bounce back following a 117-76 loss to Geelong, and they looked good prior to that with wins over Carlton, Essendon, and Adelaide. They’re playing better than GWS, which comes off a loss to West Coast.

Losing to the Eagles isn’t a loss any team wants on their record, and it was a shocking performance. Their recent wins came against Essendon and North Melbourne, so they have struggled against quality teams, and Brisbane is a quality team.

Covering a –14.5 spread shouldn’t be hard if Brisbane is anywhere near their best, and the conditions should be ideal for their style of play.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane –14.5, Logan Morris 3+ Goals, Zac Bailey 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 186.5 @ $8.50

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Logan Morris is a key player for Brisbane, and they would love him to kick 3+ goals. He has 15 goals from his last five games, so the average is good, and the $1.88 odds are worth including in AFL same game multi picks.

Zac Bailey could also chime in with a couple of goals. He has only one goal from his last two games, but playing GWS should give him a chance to fire back with a double. He is paying $2.02 for 2+ goals, so the odds are too good to leave out.

We have GWS struggling to score, and although it’s usually a high-scoring contest, confidence levels are low with GWS, which could see under 186.5 points cash for punters.

Best Value Bet

Brisbane 40+ @ $3.45

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When GWS plays poorly, they look bad. That was the case when losing to West Coast last week, and Brisbane could jump on them early and post a big first half lead.

If the GIANTS are chasing, they play even worse, and it could materialise into an easy Brisbane win. Therefore, we’re taking the $3.45 odds for a 40+ win to Brisbane, which is a fair price from bookmakers.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.