Hawthorn vs. Collingwood Predictions - AFL Round 23 2026Ended

We have Hawthorn vs. Collingwood predictions for AFL Round 23 on Saturday, August 15 at 7:40pm at the MCG.

One of the biggest games of the week is the Hawks vs. Magpies, where the Hawks are -19.5 favourites to bounce back from a heavy loss to Brisbane.

Best Bet

Hawthorn -19.5 @ $1.90

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Hawthorn’s momentum came to a crashing halt when losing by 67 points to Brisbane last week, but they have been a good team at bouncing back all season.

The Hawks had been showing form against teams outside the top eight, including wins over Carlton, Richmond, Essendon, and North Melbourne. However, the 109-39 win over Carlton stacks up as a quality win, and they should fancy their chances against Collingwood.

The Magpies were no match for Geelong in Round 21 before beating West Coast 117-98. It wasn’t an overly convincing win over the Eagles last week, which is why we’re banking on Hawthorn to fire back with a quality performance.

They are 14-1 in their last 15 home games against Collingwood, including a 110-46 win last year. They had a 93-93 draw in their most recent meeting, but Hawthorn should do enough to cover the -19.5 spread.

Same Game Multi

Hawthorn -19.5, Jack Gunston 3+ Goals, Mabior Chol 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 174.5 @ $9.00

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Jack Gunston has been a solid bet for punters this season, and he could add to his tally. He has 16 goals from his last five games, including three goals last week. Considering Hawthorn scored only 58 points, it was a good effort from Gunston.

Mabior Chol comes off his worst performance in some time after scoring no goals. He has been an important part of Hawthorn’s attack, so he should be much better against Collingwood. 2+ goals pays $1.83, which is a good price.

Under 174.5 points adds value to AFL SGM odds. We have Collingwood struggling to produce a big score, and our final score prediction has Hawthorn winning 95-65.

Best Value Bet

Hawthorn 20-39 Winning Margin @ $4.20

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Punters get value odds for Hawthorn to win by 20-39 points, which has a good chance of cashing.

We have Hawthorn covering the -19.5 spread, but they’re unlikely to win by 40+ points against Collingwood. Therefore, getting $4.20 for a 20-39 winning margin is exceptional value with AFL odds this week.

Not happy with your current bookie? See how the best AFL betting sites stack up, or browse the full list of Australian bookmakers. Opening a new account? Use the EliteBet code GOBET500 when you register.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl Curnow was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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