Hawthorn vs. Melbourne Predictions – AFL Round 23 2025

We have Hawthorn vs. Melbourne predictions for AFL action on Saturday August 16 at 4:15pm at the MCG.

Hawthorn is one of the best-backed teams in Round 23, and it should be far too good for the struggling Demons.

Hawthorn vs. Melbourne Predictions

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Best Bet

Punters get a generous line with AFL odds for Hawthorn, who won 110-46 against Geelong last week. Facing Melbourne is a much easier task, so we thought the line would have been around –35.5 for Saturday’s game.

The Hawks are only seventh on the ladder, so they need to perform well to stay in the top eight. It’s a big game for them at the MCG, but they’re too good to not back. They have outstanding wins on the board, and although Melbourne eyes an upset, they might have spent all their pennies against the Bulldogs last week.

We expect Hawthorn to score a comfortable win, so take the –22.5 line.

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Same Game Multi

Jack Gunston has been electric for the Hawks recently, scoring 14 goals from his last four games. He kicked four goals last week, and he should get ample opportunity to kick goals against Melbourne on Saturday.

Punters get $2.25 for Gunston to kick 3+ goals, which is good shopping, and $1.90 for Mabior Chol to kick 2+ goals. He is standing up for the Hawks when they need him, kicking three goals against Collingwood last week.

A repeat of that performance should see punters cash with Chol, in what should be a low-scoring game. Melbourne could struggle to score, so include under 164.5 points in your AFL SGM picks.

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Best Value Bet

Our money is with Gunston to kick the first goal of the game. He often gets off to a good start for the Hawks, and he’s their leading scorer.

With four goals in each of his last two games, Gunston is hungry, and the $8.25 odds are worth including in AFL predictions as a value bet.