Hawthorn vs. North Melbourne Predictions

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We have Hawthorn vs. North Melbourne predictions for AFL Round 21 on Saturday, August 1 at 1:35pm at the University of Tasmania Stadium.

Hawthorn are short favourites to keep their winning run going, and with the Roos struggling after four straight losses, it could be a one-sided affair.

Best Bet

Hawthorn -35.5 @ $1.90

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The wheels have fallen off at North Melbourne after such a promising start to the year. They come off four straight losses to the Power, Magpies, Demons, and Saints, and another loss is highly likely against the Hawks.

Hawthorn bounced back from a loss to Melbourne with three wins, and although they all came against teams outside the top eight, they face another struggling team on Saturday. They scored a 132-39 win over Essendon last week, where they never looked under pressure.

Covering a -35.5 line isn’t an easy task, but we look at their latest meeting against North Melbourne in 2025. The Hawks won 150-65, and although the Kangaroos have improved since then, they’re now down on confidence.

We predict Hawthorn winning by a big margin, and the game could be over by halftime. They have allowed totals of only 39, 52, and 39 points in their last three games, so their defence could get it done.

Same Game Multi

Hawthorn -35.5, Nick Watson 3+ Goals, Jarman Impey 1+ Goal, Total Points Under 174.5 @ $14.25

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Nick Watson is having a great year for Hawthorn, and the $1.86 odds for 3+ goals is generous from bookmakers. He has 17 goals from his last five games, including three last week, and we can’t see his form taking a turn for the worst against North Melbourne.

Jarman Impey isn’t a noted goal scorer but has a goal in each of his last two games. He’s going under the radar with AFL odds, and punters should add the $2.45 to AFL SGM picks.

We have the Kangaroos scoring a low total, so we’re backing under 174.5 points.

Best Value Bet

Oliver Greeves 20+ Disposals @ $4.25

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Oliver Greeves has made a good start to his AFL career, posting disposal totals of 16, 14, and 16 from only three games.

His minutes will continue to grow as he gets more experience, and he could play more minutes against North Melbourne, with the win likely secured early in the contest.

The $4.25 odds for 20+ disposals are worth including in AFL picks as a value bet.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl Curnow was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.