
We have Hawthorn vs. Western Bulldogs predictions for AFL Round 13 on Friday, June 5 at 7:40pm at the MCG.
One of the biggest games of the week is the Hawks vs. Bulldogs, where Hawthorn is the –20.5 favourites at home.
Best Bet
Hawthorn is riding a 12 game winning streak at home, and although covering a –20.5 spread is harder, they should have too much class for the Bulldogs.
They bounced back from consecutive losses with wins over Adelaide and St Kilda, and their 119-67 win over St Kilda was an excellent effort. That should give them enough confidence to kick on with it, and they have AFL premiership ambitions in 2026.
The Bulldogs have also done well to bounce back with wins over Melbourne and Collingwood. Both wins came by four points or less, but they showed plenty of fight. However, they’ll need to be more clinical to keep it close against Hawthorn.
Hawthorn won 104-64 during Gather Round, and it should be another one-sided scoreline on Friday night.
Same Game Multi
Aaron Naughton should deliver 2+ goals for the Bulldogs in a losing effort. He had only one goal in his most recent game, but he doesn’t often underperform in consecutive games. He’s worth including in AFL SGM picks.
Nick Watson pays $1.93 to kick 3+ goals for Hawthorn, having kicked 12 goals in his last five games. The odds for Jack Gunston ($1.34) were too short, but punters get value for Watson to deliver his third 3+ goal game in the last five weeks.
It should be an entertaining game with plenty of goals. Our score prediction has Hawthorn winning 102-79, so include the over in AFL picks this week.
Best Value Bet
It has been five games since Jai Newcombe scored a goal, so he’s due for a big performance on Friday night.
He kicked a goal against Collingwood in a 93-93 draw, and although he’s not a noted scorer, he could get involved in the attack in the second half.
It’s worth the risk at the odds, so include him as a value bet.
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