Hawthorn vs. Western Bulldogs Predictions – AFL Round 5 2026

We have Hawthorn vs. Western Bulldogs predictions for AFL Round 5 on Saturday, April 11 at 7:35pm at Adelaide Oval.

Super Saturday ends with a blockbuster between the Hawks and Bulldogs, with both teams looking to extend a winning streak.

Best Bet

Western Bulldogs @ $2.28

There has been no betting support for the Bulldogs, who opened at $1.85 before drifting to $2.28 throughout the week.

We’re not surprised to see money come for Hawthorn after beating Geelong on Easter Monday, but they could suffer a letdown spot against the Bulldogs. That was an emotional comeback performance, and the Bulldogs are ready and waiting.

After posting four consecutive wins, the Bulldogs are playing well. They come off an easy win against Essendon, where they didn’t need to expend much energy, and with the underdog winning the last four games in this matchup, that bodes well for the Bulldogs.

Same Game Multi

Western Bulldogs H2H, Aaron Naughton 3+ Goals, Mabior Chol 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 183.5 @ $8.75

Aaron Naughton could have a big game, and he has been an excellent bet so far in 2026. He has 14 goals from four games, including three consecutive games of 3+ goals, so the $2.18 odds are worth including in AFL same game multi bets.

Mabior Chol is a $1.96 chance to kick 2+ goals, having scored two goals in each of his last two games. He is getting plenty of opportunities to kick goals, and although he shanks the odd kick, he’s relatively reliable in front of goal.

Our AFL predictions have it as a high-scoring game. It should be a back-and-forth contest with plenty of goals, and our final score prediction has the Western Bulldogs winning 97-90, so include the over in picks.

Best Value Bet

Aaron Naughton First Goal Scorer @ $9.00

Looking to make an early impact is Naughton, who doesn’t often take long to kick the first goal.

The Western Bulldogs top goal scorer only needs an early opportunity and he usually converts, so the $9 odds from bookmakers are generous. Look for the Bulldogs to get the ball out quickly from the opening throw, and Naughton will be waiting in the forward 50 for the opening chance. We priced him at $7.50 to score, so the odds are worth snapping up.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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