
We have Melbourne vs. Brisbane predictions for AFL Round 6 on Sunday, April 19 at 3:15pm at the MCG.
The latest AFL odds have Brisbane at –22.5, as they look to extend their winning streak to four.
Best Bet
We expected Brisbane to be around –30.5 with AFL betting markets, so we’re jumping on the current line.
After winning their last three games against the Saints, Magpies, and Kangaroos, things are starting to look up for last year’s premiership winners after a slow start. They scored a 92-66 win over North Melbourne last week, and that could do something similar to Melbourne.
We rate Melbourne on level terms with the Kangaroos, and although playing at the MCG can be problematic for the Lions, they want to avenge their shock loss at the Gabba last year, where Melbourne won 99-88 with a 32-7 last quarter.
A focused Brisbane should put a sizable margin on the Demons, who lost to Essendon last week, so their confidence levels will be waning.
Same Game Multi
Punters get $2.25 for Logan Morris to kick 3+ goals, and we’re snapping up the value. He has two 3+ goal games from his last four matches, and after not scoring last week, he should be ready to produce the goods at $2.25.
Charlie Cameron has only one goal from his last two games, but he’s better than that. He kicked eight goals in his first three games this season, which is a much better guide.
We don’t see Melbourne putting up a big scoring total, and with bookmakers opening the line in the higher region of 187.5 points, we’re including the under in our AFL same game multi picks.
Best Value Bet
Our AFL predictions have Logan Morris scoring the opening goal at $9.50. We expect a big game from the Lions forward, who didn’t get the rub of the green in Adelaide last week.
He still did the little things well, and he should get an early opportunity to kick a goal. If he’s accurate, punters will be happy with the $9.50 odds available with the sportsbook.
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