Melbourne vs. Essendon Predictions

We have Melbourne vs. Essendon predictions for AFL Round 14 on Saturday, June 13 at 1:15pm at the MCG.

Kicking off a three-game slate on Saturday is Melbourne vs. Essendon, where the Demons are firm favourites to win.

Best Bet

Essendon +30.5 @ $1.90

It could be a letdown spot for Melbourne after beating Collingwood on Monday, so we’re backing Essendon with the +30.5 start.

Betting on Essendon comes with risk, but it played well last week when losing 72-67 to Carlton, and the Bombers covered the spread with ease. That could be the case again this week, and they’re not far away from turning the tide.

A big showing against Melbourne could spark Essendon into life, and although any thought of making the finals is done, getting momentum heading into next year is important. They can still lose the game but play well, and the +30.5 start is better than expected.

Our final score prediction has Melbourne winning 99-78, so punters get a few points to work with, and it could pay to take the current line before betting support comes for the underdogs.

Same Game Multi

Essendon +30.5, Nate Caddy 2+ Goals, Kysaiah Pickett 2+ Goals, Total Points Over 164.5 @ $11.50

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Nate Caddy ended his run of 2+ goal games last week, but he’s the best attacking threat for Essendon. With nine goals from his last five games, Caddy is an excellent AFL SGM addition at $1.61, which gives a nice boost.

Kysaiah Pickett came back to life with three goals against Collingwood, and he’s a player who thrives when his confidence levels are high. $1.96 to kick two goals against Essendon is a good price, so he’s another value inclusion.

The total points line is much lower than expected. Bookmakers expect Essendon to score a low total, but our AFL predictions have a high-scoring encounter on the horizon.

Best Value Bet

Essendon First to 25 Points @ $3.02

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We have Essendon coming out of the gates running and looking to make an early impression.

Kicking goals has been a problem, but this could be a breakout performance for the Bombers, who defeated Melbourne 113-68 during Gather Round.

That was their only win this season, so they’ll be confident in reaching 25 points first, which pays a handsome $3.02.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.