Melbourne vs. Fremantle Predictions

Saturday April 19 action kicks off with Melbourne vs. Fremantle at 1:20pm, where Melbourne looks to win its first game of 2025.

AFL odds have Fremantle at $1.45 to win, which will be a popular AFL Round 6 bet.

Melbourne vs. Fremantle Predictions

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Best Bet

Fremantle –13.5 @ $1.90

Fremantle –13.5 is one of our most confident bets this week. The Dockers have found their best form with three consecutive wins over West Coast, Western Bulldogs, and Richmond. Two of those teams are average, but Melbourne is one of the worst teams in the AFL this year.

The Demons are clearly playing with demons, having lost to GWS, North Melbourne, Gold Coast, Geelong, and Essendon. Losing to North Melbourne 125-66 is a joke by their usual standards, which shows just how bad they’re playing.

The Dockers should jump on them early and score an easy win. They have won their last three against Melbourne, and we have confidence they’ll make it four with a big victory. The –13.5 line is much better than we expected, which was around –28.5.

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Same Game Multi

Fremantle -13.5, Shai Bolton 2+ Goals, Josh Treacy 3+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 169.5 @ $6.50

Melbourne has struggled to score points against Fremantle over the last couple of years, but Fremantle has piled on the points. That’s why we like Fremantle –13.5 and over 169.5 points. Last year’s game ended 116-66 to Fremantle, and a similar scoreline is predicted.

They played twice in 2024, with the first meeting ending 141-49 to the Dockers. Both games went over the 169.5 total punters get for Saturday’s game, which is a generous line from bookmakers.

We’re focusing on Fremantle players when it comes to goal scoring. Shai Bolton comes off consecutive two-goal games, and he should get every opportunity to kick a brace against Melbourne. Josh Treacy kicked six goals against Richmond, and he’s their best kicker so far.

He has 17 goals from five games, so the $1.86 to kick three goals is worth including in AFL same game multi picks.

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Best Value Bet

Josh Treacy First Goal Scorer @ $8.00

The Fremantle key forward is having no problems scoring goals in 2025, and he’s well on his way to posting a big total.

Treacy scored six goals last week, and we can’t see this game going much differently. He should get off to a strong start, and Melbourne’s defence could struggle to contain the 22-year-old superstar.

Getting $8 for Treacy to be first goal scorer is a juicy price, and he could kick things off with an early win for punters.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.