We have Norm Smith Medal predictions for the AFL Grand Final on Saturday September 27 at 4:30pm at the MCG.
Topping markets is Bailey Smith for the Cats, but his teammate could steal the show at better odds. We have our best bet and value bets for the Norm Smith Medal.
Norm Smith Medal Predictions
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Best Bet
Patrick Dangerfield had one of his best games of the year last week, and if the Cats are going to win the AFL Grand Final, he needs to play a big game.
He doesn’t need to score goals to win the judges over, but he kicked three last week. If he does that again, we believe he will win the Norm Smith Medal, because that means he’s playing aggressively and putting himself in the mix.
Dangerfield’s best qualities are doing the tough work that can go unnoticed. However, everyone knows he’s the heart and soul of Geelong, so his efforts won’t go undetected on Saturday. Therefore, he’s our top Norm Smith Medal pick to upset teammate Smith at $8 odds.
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Next Best
The Norm Smith Medal doesn’t always go to a player with the most goals, but we have been impressed with Jeremy Cameron’s willingness to move around the field.
He is their leading goal scorer, and that’s his best asset. He is a tall body in the forward 50, and if he kicks 3-4 goals, he’s in line to win the medal. However, he doesn’t mind dropping back on defence and coming up with big intercept marks.
Given what’s on the line, we expect the big man to play with everything he’s got. That could be enough to see him win the Norm Smith Medal, and punters get $18, which is tough to overlook for the Coleman Medal winner.
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Best Roughies
Brisbane’s Hugh McCluggage has produced mixed form over the last few weeks, but he was at his brilliant best in the preliminary final.
If Brisbane wins the AFL Grand Final, we expect McCluggage to win the Norm Smith Medal. He knows what it takes to play well on the big occasions, and he has a point to prove against a tough Geelong Cats outfit.
He might be the second favourite for a Lions player behind Will Ashcroft, but if the Lions are to win, it’s McCluggage who should have the biggest impact.
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He might not be the name of everyone’s lips when it comes to Norm Medal odds, but Mark Blicavs could have a big impact on the game.
His tackling has been excellent, and although his position doesn’t allow him to get the accolades of his teammates, he puts in the hard work, and he could come up with some pivotal moments in the Grand Final.
If he picks off a few intercept marks in the fourth quarter, Blicavs could sway judges, and $51 is a price worth taking notice of. We’re happy to include the Cats’ versatile player as a roughie.
