North Melbourne vs. Brisbane Predictions – AFL Round 5 2026

We have North Melbourne vs. Brisbane predictions for AFL Round 5 on Saturday, April 11 at 12:35pm at Barossa Park.

The defending champions take on North Melbourne, in what could be a closer game than expected to kick off Super Saturday.

Best Bet

North Melbourne +34.5 @ $1.90

It has been a long time coming for North Melbourne, which finally has some momentum early in the year. They have three wins from four games, and although they lost to West Coast, they rebounded with two good wins.

Critics will say their wins came against bad teams, but it’s all about attitude for the Kangaroos, who have struggled for many years. They now face a Brisbane team coming off wins over St Kilda and Collingwood, so it won’t be an easy task to cover the spread.

However, we have the Kangaroos covering the +34.5 spread, which is a big number. They had a 71-71 draw against Brisbane last year, and that’s when Brisbane was at its title-winning best. North Melbourne has improved since May of 2025, so they could make a game of it.

Same Game Multi

North Melbourne +34.5, Paul Curtis 2+ Goals, Kai Lohmann 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Under 190.5 @ $8.75

Paul Curtis has been a good bet for North Melbourne supporters. He scored two goals last week against Carlton, and punters always get value odds for him in the goal scoring department. He’s worth including in AFL same game multi picks.

We also have Kai Lohmann scoring 2+ goals for Brisbane. He had four goals against Collingwood, and he’s another player who goes under the radar with bookmakers.

Our final score prediction has Brisbane winning 92-78, so the game should go under 190.5 points, which is a higher line than expected. They combined for 142 points in their last recent meeting, and it could be a defensive game.

Best Value Bet

North Melbourne Quarter Time Leader @ $2.87

Our AFL predictions this week have North Melbourne getting off to a fast start, and they could lead after the first quarter.

They have started fast in all four games this season, including the game they lost to West Coast. That’s a good sign against Brisbane, which likes to work into the game.

The $2.87 odds are good enough to make them a value bet.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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