North Melbourne vs. Essendon Predictions

We have North Melbourne vs. Essendon predictions for AFL Round 16 on Sunday, June 28 at 3:15pm at Marvel Stadium.

Bookmakers have 14.5 points between North Melbourne and Essendon, which is typically a close contest between the struggling clubs.

Best Bet

North Melbourne –14.5 @ $1.90

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We have North Melbourne being too good for Essendon, and it should be a bigger margin than their result earlier this season.

The Kangaroos won 81-69 at Marvel Stadium, but Essendon outscored North Melbourne 27-3 in the fourth quarter, so the result was much closer than it could have been.

We thought the line would be around –24.5 given Essendon’s recent form. They come off a poor 95-50 loss to Melbourne, and it’s a lack of offence which is making it hard. They haven’t scored over 56 points in three of their last four games, which isn’t a good sign.

North Melbourne has three wins from their last four games, including wins over Gold Coast, West Coast, and Richmond. They’re not the hardest teams to beat, but neither is Essendon, so back North Melbourne –14.5 with confidence in Round 16.

Same Game Multi

North Melbourne –14.5, Nick Larkey 3+ Goals, Cooper Trembath 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 177.5 @ $8.50

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Nick Larkey didn’t have a big scoring game against Richmond, but he didn’t need to. He should have a much better scoring performance against Essendon, and the $1.74 odds for 3+ goals is a good AFL SGM bet addition.

Cooper Trembath comes off a big four-goal game against Richmond. He had the ball on a string, and he should have another 2+ goal game against a struggling Essendon defence. The $1.67 odds have shortened throughout the week, and it could pay to follow the market confidence.

Essendon’s struggles on attack could continue, which is why we have under 177.5 points included in our North Melbourne vs. Essendon SGM bet.

Best Value Bet

North Melbourne 40+ @ $3.60

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One of our best value bets of the week is North Melbourne 40+ at $3.60. They’re not getting much respect in betting markets, and there is a case that Essendon is getting too much respect.

We predict North Melbourne getting off to a fast start and putting the Bombers under pressure, which could see the score snowball in the second half.

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Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.