North Melbourne vs. Gold Coast Predictions – AFL Round 11 2026

We have North Melbourne vs. Gold Coast predictions for AFL Round 11 on Saturday, May 23 at 1:15pm at Marvel Stadium.

AFL odds have Gold Coast at only –10.5, so bookmakers expect a close game in Melboure to kick off Super Saturday.

Best Bet

Gold Coast -10.5 @ $1.90

Gold Coast doesn’t have the best record in Melbourne, but after winning three games on the bounce, they should have too much for North Melbourne.

The SUNS come off wins over Port Adelaide, St Kilda, and GWS, so they haven’t been easy games, and they should feel confident of giving North Melbourne its fifth consecutive loss. The Kangaroos started well, but coming off a losing streak isn’t ideal.

They were soundly beaten 141-89 by Gold Coast last season, and although they are much better when playing at home, they will need to improve significantly on their recent form to end the winning run of Gold Coast.

We’re snapping up the –10.5 line before money comes for Gold Coast throughout the week. We priced them at around –17.5, so the line is better than expected.

Same Game Multi

Gold Coast -10.5, Ben King 3+ Goals, Ben Long 2+ Goals, Total Points Over 182.5 @ $8.00

Ben King had only one goal last week, but he was playing well prior with 11 goals from his last four games. He could have a field day against North Melbourne, so take the shortening odds for a 3+ goal performance.

Gold Coast need more from Ben Long. He hasn’t scored in his last two games, and although they’re winning, he’s crucial to their success. A bounce back effort is expected, and the $1.84 to kick 2+ goals is generous.

It’s always a high-scoring game when North Melbourne plays Gold Coast, so our AFL SGM picks include over 182.5. It’s one of the biggest lines of the week, but with good reason.

Best Value Bet

Ned Moyle 2+ Goals @ $4.80

Ned Moyle isn’t a notable scorer for Gold Coast, but he was excellent last week when kicking three goals against Port Adelaide.

With his confidence levels rising, Moyle could have another big scoring afternoon, and punters get a healthy $4.80 from bookmakers.

Include him in AFL picks as a value bet.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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