Port Adelaide vs. Melbourne Predictions - AFL Round 23 2026Starts in 3d 23h

We have Port Adelaide vs. Melbourne predictions for AFL Round 23 on Saturday, August 15 at 8:10pm at the Adelaide Oval.

Closing out Super Saturday is Port Adelaide vs. Melbourne, where all eyes are on how Melbourne plays with eyes on the AFL Finals.

Best Bet

Melbourne -25.5 @ $1.90

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It’s hard to bet on teams like Port Adelaide at this stage of the season, so we’re going with Melbourne to score an easy win on Saturday night.

The Power are riding a long losing streak, and they were thumped 167-70 by Sydney last week. That was not a good effort, and it looked like they had put the cue in the rack for the year.

Melbourne is heading in the right direction after handing Fremantle a rare loss last week. The 113-109 win was a tremendous upset victory for the Demons, who are quietly going about their business as sneaky premiership title contenders.

They have won four of their last five games, with the only recent loss coming against a surging Geelong. It’s a good record and covering a -25.5 line shouldn’t be hard against this current version of Port Adelaide, which hasn’t scored over 75 points in the last five weeks.

Same Game Multi

Melbourne -25.5, Bayley Fritsch 2+ Goals, Kysaiah Pickett 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 182.5 @ $10.25

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Bayley Fritsch has been a consistent player for Melbourne recently. He has 12 goals from his last five games, including two goals last week. The odds aren’t huge, but he’s worth including in AFL picks this week.

Kysaiah Pickett is also worth including in picks. He turned his goal-kicking form around with two goals last week, and he could enter the finals as a goal-kicking threat for the Demons. He pays $1.88, so he’s worth including in picks.

Port Adelaide’s offensive struggles could continue, so we’re backing under 182.5 points, which is a higher line than expected from bookmakers.

Best Value Bet

Melbourne 40+ @ $2.50

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It should be a one-sided win for Melbourne, and the $2.50 odds for a 40+ win are likely to firm on game day.

There isn’t a lot of market confidence for Port Adelaide, who can’t seem to kick goals, and that’s a real problem when facing a team like Melbourne.

The final score could be 105-60, so take the odds.

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Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl Curnow was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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