Port Adelaide vs. St Kilda Predictions – AFL Round 5 2026

We have Port Adelaide vs. St Kilda predictions for AFL Round 5 on Sunday, April 12 at 7:15pm at Adelaide Oval.

Closing Round 5 is Port Adelaide vs. St Kilda, and there is good value with the home team on Sunday night.

Best Bet

Port Adelaide +8.5 @ $1.90

This is a home game for Port Adelaide, and there is good value with the +8.5 line.

They have two wins from four games in 2026, including an easy win against Richmond last week, and that should give them confidence to beat teams like St Kilda, who had a bye last week following a loss to Brisbane.

St Kilda has shown signs of life, including a win over GWS. However, they have three losses from four games, and it’s tough to gain momentum when you keep losing. We have them losing outright to Port Adelaide on Sunday, but there is less risk with the +8.5 line.

It should be a close game, so getting 8.5 points makes Port Adelaide worth including in AFL bets this week.

Same Game Multi

Port Adelaide +8.5, Jack Lukosius 2+ Goals, Jack Higgins 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 173.5 @ $8.00

Jack Lukosius has eight goals from his last four games, and he could thrive playing in front of a big crowd at Adelaide Oval. He kicked two goals last week, and the $2.12 odds to kick two this week is worth including in AFL picks.

Jack Higgins aims to kick 2+ goals in four consecutive games. The St Kilda forward pays $1.82 for 2+ goals, and those odds are better than expected.

Our AFL predictions have over 173.5 points, in what should be a high-scoring game. They had 161 points in their latest meeting, but an open contest is expected.

Best Value Bet

Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.80

We have the Power winning outright, but it’s unlikely to come by 40+ points, so punters should include Port Adelaide 1-39 in AFL picks.

They won both of their games by more than 40 points, but St Kilda is a tough opponent, and we can’t see the Power winning by a huge margin. The odds make it a worthwhile bet, and money could come for Port Adelaide to win outright.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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