Richmond vs. Adelaide Predictions – AFL Round 9 2026

We have Richmond vs. Adelaide predictions for AFL Round 9 on Sunday, May 10 at 3:15pm at the MCG.

Punters are met with another one-sided spread, with Adelaide expected to roll through the Tigers.

Best Bet

Adelaide –35.5 @ $1.90

Despite coming off a win, we don’t expect many punters to have Richmond featuring in their picks this week.

They were too good for a poor West Coast outfit, but with Adelaide coming off a tough win over Port Adelaide, it looks ready to produce a comfortable and stress-free win on Sunday.

The Crows have had plenty of stressful games, including a one-point win over St Kilda in Round 6, and last week’s effort at Adelaide Oval. They could do with a much easier game, and playing Richmond is the perfect result.

Adelaide won the most recent meeting against Richmond 122-54 at the MCG, so they’re no strangers to putting up a big total on the Tigers, and it could be a similar score on Sunday afternoon, so take Adelaide –35.5 with AFL betting markets.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide –35.5, Riley Thilthorpe 3+ Goals, Ben Keays 2+ Goals, Total Points Over 180.5 @ $7.50

Riley Thilthorpe has been a costly bet in 2+ and 3+ goal markets, but we’re happy to stick with him. He is a talented scorer, and he should get every chance to kick 3+ goals against Richmond. Punters get $1.70 from bookies, so include him in picks.

Ben Keays has nine goals from his last four games, including three last week. There is value in the $1.79 odds for 2+ goals, and he could continue his fine run of form.

Adelaide is set to score a big total, and although over 180.5 points needs Richmond to contribute, they should score around 70 points. It should be enough for the over to cash.

Best Value Bet

James Peatling 25+ Disposals @ $3.08

James Peatling had 25 disposals against Port Adelaide last week, and he has a good chance of repeating that effort this week.

It was his second game with 25+ disposals from his last five games, so he’s an in-form player, and he could be kept busy.

Punters get $3.08 odds, which are much better than expected. We priced him at $2.40, so snap up the value.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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