Richmond vs. Brisbane Predictions

We have Richmond vs. Brisbane predictions for AFL Round 14 on Sunday, June 14 at 1:10pm at Ninja Stadium.

The Lions are currently outside the top eight, but an easy win is expected against the struggling Tigers.

Best Bet

Brisbane –44.5 @ $1.90

It seems as there is no line big enough to back Richmond with any confidence after losing 170-56 to Fremantle last week. We can’t part with our hard-earned money on a team like the Tigers, so we’re backing the reigning premiers to deliver the goods.

Brisbane isn’t having a vintage year, but after posting three consecutive losses, it bounced back with a win over Gold Coast last week. That was an important outing, and they won by 31 points, so the –44.5 line shouldn’t worry them against a team as poor as Richmond.

They’re 4-0 in their last four against Richmond, including a 163-44 win at the Gabba in 2024, and punters should expect something similar on Sunday. Conditions should suit the Lions in Hobart, and we predict a one-sided game from the outset.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane –44.5, Logan Morris 3+ Goals, Kai Lohmann 2+ Goals, Total Points Over 180.5 @ $9.00

Bet Now

Logan Morris turned his form around with a big seven-goal effort last week, and he should be licking his lips at the prospect of playing Richmond. The $1.63 odds for Morris 3+ goals is on the shorter side of value, but it’s worth including in AFL SGM picks.

There is better value with Kai Lohmann to kick 2+ goals at $1.97. He hasn’t scored in his last two games, but he kicked three against GWS, and a similar performance is predicted.

The points should flow freely in Hobart, which is why the line sits at 180.5. We’re backing the over to come through for punters.

Best Value Bet

Will Ashcroft 2+ Goals @ $11.00

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It might seem unlikely for Will Ashcroft to kick 2+ goals, but that was the case against Fremantle when he kicked a double.

The Lions lost that contest, but Ashcroft stepped up, and he could get himself stuck into the offence again, especially against the Tigers. We’re snapping up the $11 odds available with bookmakers, which is much better than what we priced him at.

We priced him at $7.50 to kick a double, so back him as a value bet.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.