Richmond vs. Hawthorn Predictions

We have Richmond vs. Hawthorn predictions for AFL Round 19 on Sunday, July 19 at 1:10pm at the MCG.

Kicking off action on Sunday are the Tigers and Hawks, where Richmond are the biggest underdogs of the week at $11, but they could give punters a sight.

Best Bet

Richmond +49.5 @ $1.90

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It’s not surprising to see Hawthorn open as big favourites, but Richmond should play well enough to cover the +49.5 spread.

They lost 111-65 to Melbourne last week, but it was a close game early, and if they show similar toughness against Hawthorn, they could keep it close at halftime and hold on to cover the spread in the fourth.

Richmond has had some close games recently, including a two-point loss to Carlton in Round 17. That’s a key form guide for this game. If the Tigers can replicate that defensive effort, Hawthorn could be put under pressure to kick goals.

It could be a come down spot for Hawthorn, who scored a big win over Carlton last week. They needed a bounce back performance after losing to Melbourne, so there is a worry that they could take their foot off the gas against an easy team.

The +49.5 spread is big enough to back Richmond with a flutter of confidence.

Same Game Multi

Hawthorn +49.5, Tom Lynch 2+ Goals, Mabior Chol 2+ Goals, Total Points Over 174.5 @ $9.50

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Richmond has done well to be competitive over the last two weeks with Tom Lynch not scoring any goals. He is their top scorer, and we have him getting back to form with 2+ goals at $2.

We also have Mabior Chol kicking two goals for Hawthorn. He has 13 goals from his last five games, and punters often get value odds in betting markets. The $1.64 odds are worth including to boost AFL SGM odds.

If Richmond’s scoring improves slightly, the game should go over 174.5 points. We have Hawthorn winning 108-72, so include the over.

Best Value Bet

Richmond First to 25 Points @ $4.40

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It’s a risky bet, but we have Richmond making a positive start against Hawthorn, and the odds are generous.

If Richmond can kick a couple of early goals, their confidence levels will increase, and they made a solid start against Melbourne last week.

The $4.40 odds qualify as a value bet worth including in AFL picks this week.

Keen to compare bookies? Our punters have rated every one of the AFL betting sites, plus the betting sites with cash out.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.