We have Richmond vs. St Kilda predictions for AFL action on Saturday August 9 at 1:20pm at the MCG.
Most of the money has come for St Kilda to hand Richmond a loss, but there is value with the underdog in Round 22.
Richmond vs. St Kilda Predictions
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Best Bet
It’s not easy to bet on a team coming off a 23-point performance, but as bad as Richmond is, St Kilda only defeated North Melbourne by nine points last week.
That wasn’t a strong performance, and the Saints are struggling to put bad teams away. We expect that trend to continue against Richmond on Saturday afternoon and getting a +22.5 line is enough to back the Tigers with confidence.
It was only a few weeks ago when Richmond won back-to-back games against Essendon and West Coast, so they’re good enough to beat bad AFL teams. St Kilda is a bad AFL team, so we’re backing the underdogs to keep it close at the MCG.
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Same Game Multi
Punters get $2.70 odds for Ryhan Mansell to score 2+ goals, which bumps up the AFL same game multi odds. He has two 3+ goal games from his last five games, so he’s good enough to score a double against St Kilda.
We also like Jack Higgins to score 2+ goals for the Saints. He has four goals from his last three games, and he should get plenty of chances to score in a high-scoring contest. The $1.56 is on the shorter side of value, but he’s the in-form kicker in this game.
Over 161.5 is worth including in picks based on their earlier meeting, which resulted in 188 points. Punters get more points to work with this time around, so it’s worth including.
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Best Value Bet
The $3.78 odds for Richmond to win outright is too good to pass up, and we would have been happy to take around $2.70.
They didn’t fire last week, but they showed good fight against Collingwood, and there is enough talent in this team to stick with St Kilda.
Take the value odds in what could be the upset of the round.
