
We have St Kilda vs. Hawthorn predictions for AFL Round 12 on Thursday, May 28 at 7:30pm at Marvel Stadium.
Kicking off action this week are the Swans and Hawks, with most of the money coming for the Hawks to go 8-0 in their last eight games at the venue.
Best Bet
The Hawks had to dig deep to get past Adelaide last week, and although it wasn’t their finest performance, they should play better this week.
They have won their last eight games at Marvel Stadium, and with St Kilda coming off a 100-74 loss to Fremantle, they are there to be beaten. They also lost 89-60 to GWS in Round 9, so two losses from their last three games aren’t ideal form.
The Saints only recent wins came against Richmond, Carlton, and West Coast. It’s not elite form, so Hawthorn should have no problem winning outright and covering the –12.5 spread, which is lower than expected.
We rated Hawthorn at –18.5, so include them in AFL picks this week.
Same Game Multi
When Jack Gunston plays well, Hawthorn usually comes out on top. He kicked six goals last week against Adelaide, which was a massive effort, and he should kick 3+ goals against St Kilda. Punters get $1.86 to include in AFL SGM picks.
Mabior Chol missed an easy chance to kick two goals last week. He had only one goal, but we expect a bounce back effort in front of goal. The $1.95 odds are too good to turn down, so include him to boost payouts.
We have St Kilda struggling to kick goals. They had only 74 points in their latest meeting against Hawthorn, and a similar total will see under 182.5 points cash for punters.
Best Value Bet
Hawthorn didn’t start well last week, but they turned on the jets in the second quarter, and they should start much faster against St Kilda.
A good start for the Hawks is important, and if they win the first quarter, they don’t often get beaten. Therefore, we’re taking the $2.25 for Hawthorn to lead wire-to-wire, which is a fair price from bookmakers.
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