St Kilda vs. Hawthorn Predictions – AFL Round 12 2026

We have St Kilda vs. Hawthorn predictions for AFL Round 12 on Thursday, May 28 at 7:30pm at Marvel Stadium.

Kicking off action this week are the Swans and Hawks, with most of the money coming for the Hawks to go 8-0 in their last eight games at the venue.

Best Bet

Hawthorn –12.5 @ $1.90

The Hawks had to dig deep to get past Adelaide last week, and although it wasn’t their finest performance, they should play better this week.

They have won their last eight games at Marvel Stadium, and with St Kilda coming off a 100-74 loss to Fremantle, they are there to be beaten. They also lost 89-60 to GWS in Round 9, so two losses from their last three games aren’t ideal form.

The Saints only recent wins came against Richmond, Carlton, and West Coast. It’s not elite form, so Hawthorn should have no problem winning outright and covering the –12.5 spread, which is lower than expected.

We rated Hawthorn at –18.5, so include them in AFL picks this week.

Same Game Multi

Hawthorn –12.5, Jack Gunston 3+ Goals, Mabior Chol 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 182.5 @ $8.50

When Jack Gunston plays well, Hawthorn usually comes out on top. He kicked six goals last week against Adelaide, which was a massive effort, and he should kick 3+ goals against St Kilda. Punters get $1.86 to include in AFL SGM picks.

Mabior Chol missed an easy chance to kick two goals last week. He had only one goal, but we expect a bounce back effort in front of goal. The $1.95 odds are too good to turn down, so include him to boost payouts.

We have St Kilda struggling to kick goals. They had only 74 points in their latest meeting against Hawthorn, and a similar total will see under 182.5 points cash for punters.

Best Value Bet

Hawthorn Wire-to-wire @ $2.25

Hawthorn didn’t start well last week, but they turned on the jets in the second quarter, and they should start much faster against St Kilda.

A good start for the Hawks is important, and if they win the first quarter, they don’t often get beaten. Therefore, we’re taking the $2.25 for Hawthorn to lead wire-to-wire, which is a fair price from bookmakers.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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