St Kilda vs. Richmond Predictions

We have St Kilda vs. Richmond predictions for AFL Round 10 on Sunday, May 17 at 3:15pm at Marvel Stadium.

The Saints are –40.5 favourites to beat Richmond, but it could be a more competitive game than expected.

Best Bet

Richmond +40.5 @ $1.90

Richmond has played better over the last two weeks, having scored a win against West Coast before losing 98-61 to Adelaide.

The Tigers have been poor for much of the season, but getting a +40.5-point line is significant, and they only need to turn up with the right attitude to keep it close against teams like St Kilda, who scored only 60 points last week.

If St Kilda struggle to kick goals and be accurate, they won’t win this game by a big margin, no matter how poorly Richmond plays. They’ll likely win the game, but it could be a 90-60 result, which favours punters backing the underdog.

We’re happy with the +40.5 line available with bookmakers, and if Richmond turns up to play, they should keep it close for most of the contest.

Same Game Multi

Richmond +40.5, Tom Lynch 2+ Goals, Jayden Short 25+ Disposals, Total Points Under 179.5 @ $8.00

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Tom Lynch is key to the Tigers keeping up on the scoreboard and we have him kicking 2+ goals. He kicked three goals against Adelaide last week, and although it came in a losing effort, if he kicks three goals again, Richmond should be in the contest.

It’s worth including Jayden Short in AFL picks this week and we have him scoring 25+ disposals. He had 26 last week, so a similar effort should be enough to cash in for punters.

We have around 160-170 points being scored, so under 179.5 points is one of our best AFL prop picks for this game, and it’s worth including in AFL SGM selections.

Best Value Bet

Richmond Quarter Time Leader @ $3.20

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We’re picking Richmond to make a fast start, and it’s crucial that they put pressure on St Kilda early in the contest.

With the Saints scoring such a low total last week, their confidence levels will be low, so if Richmond kicks a couple of early goals, they could force St Kilda into missing in front of goal.

The $3.20 odds are worth taking as a value bet.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.